Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved Natus VincereNo call on record
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.3M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 57% / No 82%
- Ole Miss vs. Texas$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved TexasDay before: Texas ✓ Ole Miss 85% / Texas 88%
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved FC BarcelonaDay before: Galatasaray SK ✗ FC Barcelona 68% / Galatasaray SK 99%
- Rams vs. Raiders$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved RamsDay before: Raiders ✗ Rams 4% / Raiders 69%
- Timberwolves vs. Heat$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved TimberwolvesDay before: Heat ✗ Timberwolves 58% / Heat 82%
- Pelicans vs. Nuggets$2.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NuggetsNo call on record
- Dolphins vs. Vikings$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved VikingsDay before: Dolphins ✗ Dolphins 91% / Vikings 77%
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved PARIVISIONDay before: PARIVISION ✓ Legacy 20% / PARIVISION 84%
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18?$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved YesNo call on record
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$2.2M vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-02Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 40% / No 89%
- Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 11% / No 44%
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved AstralisNo call on record
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18?$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved YesNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$2.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LYONNo call on record
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?$2.1M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-15Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 55% / No 68%
- LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved T1Day before: LOS ✗ LOS 69% / T1 66%
- Florida vs. Missouri$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved MissouriDay before: Missouri ✓ Florida 0% / Missouri 71%
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved Aurora GamingNo call on record
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 16% / No 98%
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.1M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 91% / No 72%
- Giants vs. Texans$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved GiantsDay before: Giants ✓ Giants 74% / Texans 61%
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- Pacers vs. Pelicans$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved PacersDay before: Pacers ✓ Pacers 88% / Pelicans 61%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- 76ers vs. Pacers$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved 76ersDay before: Pacers ✗ 76ers 57% / Pacers 73%
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 45% / No 98%
- UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)$2.1M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Alexander VolkanovskiDay before: Movsar Evloev ✗ Alexander Volkanovski 50% / Movsar Evloev 68%
- Georgia vs. Alabama$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved GeorgiaDay before: Alabama ✗ Georgia 75% / Alabama 92%
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team LiquidDay before: Team Liquid ✓ Team Liquid 79% / Anyone's Legend 57%
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved M80No call on record
- Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 17% / No 84%
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved FURIANo call on record
- Bengals vs. Ravens$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved BengalsDay before: Bengals ✓ Bengals 86% / Ravens 67%
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved AuroraNo call on record
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 81% / No 41%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?$2.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-12Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 70% / No 84%
- Trump out as President by September 30?$2.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 12% / No 84%
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved RaptorsNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$2.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 40% / No 83%
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved BetBoom TeamNo call on record
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?$2.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 49% / No 79%
- Texas vs. Oklahoma$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved OklahomaDay before: Texas ✗ Texas 70% / Oklahoma 34%
- LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved MVK EsportsNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved LYONDay before: Team Secret Whales ✗ Team Secret Whales 63% / LYON 33%
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Warriors vs. Lakers$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved LakersDay before: Lakers ✓ Warriors 15% / Lakers 70%
- Pacers vs. Nets$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved PacersNo call on record
- LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved Team WEDay before: Team WE ✓ Team WE 86% / HANJIN BRION 44%
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved BucksNo call on record
- China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved Novak DjokovicNo call on record
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved ClippersNo call on record
- Pistons vs. Heat$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved PistonsDay before: Heat ✗ Pistons 36% / Heat 58%
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved OGNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 81% / No 56%
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 57% / No 21%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?$1.9M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-27Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 79% / No 58%
- LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 63% / No 85%
- Steelers vs. Saints$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved SteelersDay before: Saints ✗ Steelers 15% / Saints 93%
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved T1No call on record
- Buccaneers vs. Panthers$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved BuccaneersDay before: Panthers ✗ Buccaneers 86% / Panthers 91%
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 47% / No 2%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved Alejandro Davidovich FokinaNo call on record
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$1.9M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Dplus KIANo call on record
- Guangzhou Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Katie Volynets$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Dayana YastremskaNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Petr YanDay before: Petr Yan ✓ Merab Dvalishvili 12% / Petr Yan 51%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Team SpiritDay before: Team Yandex ✗ Team Spirit 18% / Team Yandex 89%
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved M80No call on record
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 43% / No 91%
- Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved UnderDay before: Over ✗ Over 50% / Under 6%
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 13% / No 24%
- LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Bilibili GamingNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved NemigaNo call on record
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 61% / No 59%
- Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 22% / No 85%
- Mavericks vs. Heat$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved MavericksDay before: Heat ✗ Mavericks 34% / Heat 53%
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Ann LiNo call on record
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 80% / No 85%
- Hawks vs. Magic$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved HawksDay before: Hawks ✓ Hawks 96% / Magic 81%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved PacersNo call on record
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Invictus GamingNo call on record
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D$1.8M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved AuroraDay before: Team Liquid ✗ Aurora 41% / Team Liquid 60%
- 49ers vs. Falcons$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved FalconsDay before: Falcons ✓ 49ers 40% / Falcons 53%
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved Golden State ValkyriesDay before: Golden State Valkyries ✓ Golden State Valkyries 58% / Las Vegas Aces 25%
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved NemigaNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.