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Who's betting on “Spread: Raptors (-4.5)”?

Sports$180K traded123 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
52%Raptors🧠 smart money
49%Magic

Smart money leans Raptors: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$180K
traded all time
Held now
$165K
by 123 wallets
Smart share · Raptors
75%
53 scored holders
Smart share · Magic
30%
69 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Raptors at 52¢ and Magic at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Raptors. $180K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

75% of the money on Raptors and 30% of the money on Magic is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Raptors, by 45 points.

Who holds it

123 wallets hold a position worth $165K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Raptors holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $51K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Magic holder is mooseborzoii, with $31K on it, $532K lifetime loss over 2,117 markets (72% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $11K on Raptors.

Raptors52%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share75%
Holders
53
Money on it
$85K
Holders' win rate
86%
Snipers
1 · $11K
Magic49%
Smart money share30%
Holders
70
Money on it
$80K
Holders' win rate
79%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Raptors$85K on it

  1. 10xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-177925833018685% won of 623 · whale$51K+$285K lifetime
  2. 2Zillahstone96% won of 48$12K−$24K lifetime
  3. 3ArielFilipino91% won of 113 · sniper$11K+$559K lifetime
  4. 4qinlaoban94% won of 229$4.5K−$85K lifetime
  5. 5suntori47% won of 71,113$2.8K−$12M lifetime

Magic$80K on it

  1. 1mooseborzoii72% won of 2,117$31K−$532K lifetime
  2. 2monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 678 · whale$18K+$848K lifetime
  3. 3misterblobby75% won of 4$10.0K−$1.0K lifetime
  4. 4TAIWANNUMBERONE92% won of 1,554$4.8K−$248K lifetime
  5. 5ComingBack97% won of 610$4.7K−$669K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Raptors (-4.5)"?

123 wallets hold a position worth $165K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 122 of them. The largest Raptors holder is 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186, with $51K on it, $285K lifetime profit over 623 markets (85% won). The largest Magic holder is mooseborzoii, with $31K on it, $532K lifetime loss over 2,117 markets (72% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Raptors (-4.5)"?

Polymarket prices Raptors at 52¢ and Magic at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Raptors. $180K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

75% of the money on Raptors and 30% of the money on Magic is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Raptors, by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.