Who's betting on “Mavericks vs. Heat”?
Sports · $980K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Mavericks at 14¢ and Heat at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Heat. $980K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
86% of the money on Mavericks and 41% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 37 points.
664 wallets hold a position worth $632K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 657 of them. The largest Mavericks holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $27K on it, $4.6M lifetime profit over 5,834 markets (45% won). The largest Heat holder is dhgreg, with $178K on it, $786K lifetime loss over 6 markets (100% won).
- Smart money share
- 86% ▲ 48 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 339
- Money on it
- $85K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 41% ▼ 33 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 325
- Money on it
- $546K
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $27K | +$4.6M | 45% of 5,834 |
| NS13whale | $22K | +$296K | 47% of 1,263 |
| KaneAnalyticswhale | $12K | +$386K | 92% of 361 |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | $7.0K | -$1.4M | 51% of 549 |
| Nooseracwhale | $4.0K | +$1.6M | 59% of 2,981 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| dhgreg | $178K | -$786K | 100% of 6 |
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $99K | +$1.9M | 57% of 26,049 |
| mooseborzoii | $48K | -$459K | 72% of 1,999 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghighwhale | $20K | +$495K | 57% of 1,202 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $15K | +$2.9M | 56% of 19,957 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Mavericks vs. Heat
- Spread -7.5$331K vol.Heat 70%Mavericks 30%Smart money: Mavericks
- O/U 239.5$160K vol.Over 30%Under 70%Smart money: Over
- Spread -8.5$133K vol.Heat 65%Mavericks 35%Smart money: Mavericks
- Spread -5.5$67K vol.Heat 75%Mavericks 25%Smart money split
- O/U 241.5$49K vol.Over 23%Under 77%Smart money: Under
- O/U 237.5$48K vol.Over 35%Under 65%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$40K vol.Heat 74%Mavericks 27%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -9.5$23K vol.Heat 60%Mavericks 41%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 235.5$20K vol.Over 41%Under 60%Smart money: Over
- O/U 229.5$17K vol.Over 55%Under 45%Smart money split
- O/U 243.5$6.0K vol.Over 19%Under 82%Smart money: Under
- O/U 227.5$5.8K vol.Over 59%Under 41%Smart money split
- Spread -3.5$5.5K vol.Heat 83%Mavericks 17%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 213.5$5.5K vol.Over 90%Under 10%Smart money: Under
- O/U 231.5$5.1K vol.Over 49%Under 52%Smart money: Under
- Spread -3.5$5.0K vol.Mavericks 10%Heat 90%Smart money split
- Spread -4.5$4.7K vol.Heat 80%Mavericks 21%Smart money split
- O/U 225.5$4.6K vol.Over 67%Under 33%Smart money split
- Spread -2.5$4.5K vol.Heat 84%Mavericks 16%Smart money: Heat
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5$3.9K vol.Yes 50%No 51%Smart money: Yes
- Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5$3.9K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5$3.5K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: No
- Spread -10.5$3.5K vol.Heat 56%Mavericks 44%Smart money: Heat
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Questions
Who is betting on "Mavericks vs. Heat"?
664 wallets hold a position worth $632K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 657 of them. The largest Mavericks holder is 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465, with $27K on it, $4.6M lifetime profit over 5,834 markets (45% won). The largest Heat holder is dhgreg, with $178K on it, $786K lifetime loss over 6 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Mavericks vs. Heat"?
Polymarket prices Mavericks at 14¢ and Heat at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of Heat. $980K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Mavericks and 41% of the money on Heat is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Heat, by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.