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Who's betting on “Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $4.0M volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

57% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

826 wallets hold a position worth $50K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 811 of them. The largest Yes holder is surfandturf, with $500 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 748 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is AZwater, with $20K on it, $62K lifetime loss over 210 markets (95% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $5 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
57% ▲ 9 pts 24 h
Holders
572
Money on it
$5.9K
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
1 · $5
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
25% ▼ 31 pts 24 h
Holders
254
Money on it
$44K
Holders' winrate
80%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
surfandturfwhale$500+$14K53% of 748
PourceauRabbin$258-$1.3K71% of 14
gibsmedats$251-$1.7K45% of 31
ubergoynoise$248+$2.7K19% of 52
zeroxace$194-$1.2K0% of 1
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
AZwater$20K-$62K95% of 210
Hyperlong$7.7K-$75K52% of 1,268
LuchoTraderbalanced$3.1K+$1.1K87% of 120
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.8K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Mmorphing$1.2K+$47494% of 18
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

826 wallets hold a position worth $50K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 811 of them. The largest Yes holder is surfandturf, with $500 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 748 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is AZwater, with $20K on it, $62K lifetime loss over 210 markets (95% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.0M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

57% of the money on Yes and 25% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago, No by 12 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo