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Who's betting on “Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $739K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $739K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

90% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 63 points. A week ago, Yes by 67 points.

240 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 240 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $141 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is afdsacs, with $93 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 42 markets (60% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
90% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
208
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
1 · $1
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
26%
Holders
32
Money on it
$403
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
JustCrazywhale$141+$32K47% of 264
forgotmydinnernoise$110+$274K38% of 2,665
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$80+$1.2M57% of 972
e46m3whale$64+$1.1M47% of 73,838
kneelbeforethekingnoise$56+$218K41% of 1,299
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
afdsacs$93-$1.3K60% of 42
vafdsa$91-$1.4K53% of 40
cdascas$89-$1.0K67% of 42
vavafaabalanced$85+$93073% of 40
luminaebalanced$19+$4185% of 205
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

240 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 240 of them. The largest Yes holder is JustCrazy, with $141 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 264 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is afdsacs, with $93 on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 42 markets (60% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $739K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

90% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 63 points. A week ago, Yes by 67 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo