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Who's betting on “Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $4.4M volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

50% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

1,004 wallets hold a position worth $102K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 993 of them. The largest Yes holder is KM377, with $150 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 247 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is ndb1, with $88K on it, $2.2M lifetime profit over 1,337 markets (61% won).

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $6 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12 on No.

Yes0%
Smart money share
50%
Holders
784
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
58%
Snipers
2 · $6
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
95% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
220
Money on it
$101K
Holders' winrate
62%
Snipers
1 · $12
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
KM377$150-$3.9K36% of 247
TimeTravelerwhale$101+$149K88% of 1,276
0x48c1D314Fa31A52665FDD896e7C631597E1b39F7-1771759515826$76-$290% of 2
boyauwhale$50+$744K48% of 663
borja13whale$45+$35K90% of 208
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ndb1whale$88K+$2.2M61% of 1,337
Elias.Thornwellwhale$2.3K+$4.5K69% of 2,940
0xB0142a3D110dc570C3717A3Db6d42b2eE4d6bD18-1769965229582$1.1K+$11487% of 15
OhneScharfbalanced$950+$8.2K63% of 951
DuneMentat$943-$16K75% of 699
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

1,004 wallets hold a position worth $102K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 993 of them. The largest Yes holder is KM377, with $150 on it, $3.9K lifetime loss over 247 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is ndb1, with $88K on it, $2.2M lifetime profit over 1,337 markets (61% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $4.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

50% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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