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Who's betting on “Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $768K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $768K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

86% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 56 points.

212 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 212 of them. The largest Yes holder is forgotmydinner, with $110 on it, $274K lifetime profit over 2,665 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is zxcdsac, with $90 on it, $229 lifetime loss over 31 markets (55% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
199
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
1 · $1
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
8% ▼ 24 pts 24 h
Holders
13
Money on it
$110
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
forgotmydinnernoise$110+$274K38% of 2,665
JustCrazywhale$80+$32K47% of 264
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$80+$1.2M57% of 972
e46m3whale$64+$1.1M47% of 73,838
kneelbeforethekingnoise$56+$218K41% of 1,299
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
zxcdsac$90-$22955% of 31
0x9aA07A637500769BC35EEE5ff31497D8C0Db8779-1769921020732$5-$25644% of 201
0x64540C208D2C857731a81d06ce2B46eD5C0d76eB-1726937140574grinder$4+$5996% of 108
ElijahWeber295$3-$030% of 37
hopehope123$2+$894% of 36
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

212 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 212 of them. The largest Yes holder is forgotmydinner, with $110 on it, $274K lifetime profit over 2,665 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is zxcdsac, with $90 on it, $229 lifetime loss over 31 markets (55% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $768K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 56 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo