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Who's betting on “Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $1.7M volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

76% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

437 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 437 of them. The largest Yes holder is forgotmydinner, with $105 on it, $274K lifetime profit over 2,665 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is johanliebert, with $106 on it, $121 lifetime loss over 203 markets (76% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
76% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
377
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
1 · $1
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
56%
Holders
60
Money on it
$437
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
forgotmydinnernoise$105+$274K38% of 2,665
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$80+$1.2M57% of 972
e46m3whale$57+$1.1M47% of 73,838
koninginhetuniversewhale$53+$4.1K63% of 2,058
TimeTravelerwhale$51+$149K88% of 1,276
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
johanliebert$106-$12176% of 203
casdfsabalanced$91+$92576% of 49
Elias.Thornwellwhale$61+$4.5K69% of 2,940
Frenonskiwhale$30+$4.2K65% of 254
mikecoin1balanced$21+$12K89% of 211
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

437 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 437 of them. The largest Yes holder is forgotmydinner, with $105 on it, $274K lifetime profit over 2,665 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is johanliebert, with $106 on it, $121 lifetime loss over 203 markets (76% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

76% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo