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Who's betting on “Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?”?

Sports · $964K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $964K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

90% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

292 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Yes holder is TimeTraveler, with $126 on it, $151K lifetime profit over 1,292 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is ChasingPaper, with $116 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 202 markets (59% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2 on No.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
90% ▲ 5 pts 24 h
Holders
248
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
82% ▲ 37 pts 24 h
Holders
44
Money on it
$287
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
1 · $2
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
TimeTravelerwhale$126+$151K88% of 1,292
forgotmydinnernoise$113+$300K39% of 2,870
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50Awhale$80+$1.2M57% of 972
e46m3whale$66+$1.1M47% of 74,930
kneelbeforethekingnoise$54+$218K41% of 1,299
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ChasingPaperbalanced$116+$14K59% of 202
RunThePMarketwhale$100+$18K49% of 489
ElizaTorres593$7-$032% of 38
0x5449…992bwhale$6+$2.3K46% of 1,105
Natalie3055$5-$2836% of 59
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

292 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Yes holder is TimeTraveler, with $126 on it, $151K lifetime profit over 1,292 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is ChasingPaper, with $116 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 202 markets (59% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $964K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

90% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.