Who's betting on “Spread: Heat (-8.5)”?
Sports · $141K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 27, 2026
Polymarket prices Heat at 33¢ and Mavericks at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of Mavericks. $141K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
31% of the money on Heat and 74% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 43 points.
186 wallets hold a position worth $114K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 185 of them. The largest Heat holder is mooseborzoii, with $14K on it, $459K lifetime loss over 2,001 markets (72% won). The largest Mavericks holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $20K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 26,068 markets (57% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $70 on Mavericks.
- Smart money share
- 31%
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $38K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 74%
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $77K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $70
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoii | $14K | -$459K | 72% of 2,001 |
| Zillahstone | $4.6K | -$10K | 95% of 44 |
| forecastication4whale | $4.4K | +$111K | 91% of 2,096 |
| cay520 | $1.8K | -$35K | 85% of 41 |
| KK8899 | $1.6K | +$4.1K | 86% of 14 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $20K | +$1.8M | 57% of 26,068 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $15K | +$2.9M | 56% of 19,964 |
| ic4creamwhale | $13K | +$564K | 89% of 1,561 |
| nigiri99 | $9.4K | -$1.1M | 46% of 15,348 |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | $4.8K | -$1.4M | 51% of 549 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Mavericks vs. Heat
- Mavericks vs. Heat$1.5M vol.Mavericks 28%Heat 73%Smart money: Mavericks
- Spread -7.5$339K vol.Heat 38%Mavericks 62%Smart money: Mavericks
- O/U 239.5$160K vol.Over 7%Under 93%Smart money: Over
- Spread -5.5$75K vol.Heat 50%Mavericks 51%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 241.5$50K vol.Over 6%Under 95%Smart money: Under
- O/U 237.5$50K vol.Over 10%Under 91%Smart money: Under
- Spread -6.5$48K vol.Heat 44%Mavericks 56%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -9.5$27K vol.Heat 26%Mavericks 74%Smart money: Heat
- O/U 235.5$22K vol.Over 11%Under 90%Smart money: Over
- O/U 221.5$22K vol.Over 54%Under 46%Smart money: Under
- O/U 229.5$18K vol.Over 24%Under 77%Smart money: Over
- O/U 227.5$12K vol.Over 31%Under 70%Smart money: Over
- O/U 231.5$12K vol.Over 19%Under 82%Smart money: Under
- Spread -4.5$11K vol.Heat 56%Mavericks 45%Smart money split
- O/U 225.5$9.6K vol.Over 38%Under 62%Smart money: Over
- Spread -2.5$9.2K vol.Heat 66%Mavericks 34%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -10.5$9.0K vol.Heat 22%Mavericks 78%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -3.5$7.1K vol.Heat 62%Mavericks 38%Smart money split
- O/U 219.5$6.4K vol.Over 63%Under 38%Smart money: Under
- O/U 243.5$6.1K vol.Over 6%Under 95%Smart money: Under
- O/U 213.5$5.8K vol.Over 84%Under 16%Smart money: Under
- Spread -11.5$5.3K vol.Heat 18%Mavericks 82%Smart money: Heat
- Spread -3.5$5.0K vol.Mavericks 18%Heat 82%Smart money split
- O/U 233.5$4.6K vol.Over 14%Under 86%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Heat (-8.5)"?
186 wallets hold a position worth $114K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 185 of them. The largest Heat holder is mooseborzoii, with $14K on it, $459K lifetime loss over 2,001 markets (72% won). The largest Mavericks holder is ferrariChampions2026, with $20K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 26,068 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Heat (-8.5)"?
Polymarket prices Heat at 33¢ and Mavericks at 67¢, a 67% implied chance of Mavericks. $141K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Heat and 74% of the money on Mavericks is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Mavericks, by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.