Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved AuroraNo call on record
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?$1.4M vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-22Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 85% / No 56%
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 80% / No 95%
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 81% / No 85%
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Gen.GNo call on record
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 32% / No 89%
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved MbappéDay before: Yamal ✗ Mbappé 34% / Yamal 39%
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved NoNo call on record
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved 49ersDay before: Broncos ✗ 49ers 9% / Broncos 69%
- Bucks vs. 76ers$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved 76ersDay before: Bucks ✗ Bucks 56% / 76ers 52%
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved Team WENo call on record
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Tampa Bay RaysDay before: Tampa Bay Rays ✓ Tampa Bay Rays 62% / Cleveland Guardians 11%
- Nebraska vs. Oregon$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved OregonNo call on record
- Trail Blazers vs. Kings$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Trail BlazersDay before: Kings ✗ Trail Blazers 35% / Kings 70%
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Cloud9No call on record
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved HANJIN BRIONDay before: JD Gaming ✗ HANJIN BRION 43% / JD Gaming 89%
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved Milwaukee BrewersNo call on record
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?$1.4M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 56% / No 62%
- Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Xinran SunNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Daniel AltmaierNo call on record
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved PatriotsDay before: Bills ✗ Bills 34% / Patriots 30%
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 19% / No 40%
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved Tampa Bay RaysDay before: Milwaukee Brewers ✗ Milwaukee Brewers 72% / Tampa Bay Rays 23%
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved JD GamingNo call on record
- LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved HANJIN BRIONNo call on record
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved HeatNo call on record
- Clippers vs. Thunder$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved ThunderDay before: Clippers ✗ Clippers 70% / Thunder 46%
- Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 68% / No 66%
- Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved Chicago White SoxNo call on record
- Suns vs. Thunder$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved ThunderDay before: Thunder ✓ Suns 31% / Thunder 49%
- Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Elmer MoellerNo call on record
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?$1.3M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 74% / No 81%
- Indiana vs. Michigan$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved IndianaDay before: Michigan ✗ Indiana 28% / Michigan 63%
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-17?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved NoNo call on record
- Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.3M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 84% / No 63%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.3M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 89% / No 87%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Daniil MedvedevDay before: Stefanos Tsitsipas ✗ Daniil Medvedev 3% / Stefanos Tsitsipas 25%
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 33% / No 88%
- Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Golden State ValkyriesNo call on record
- Hornets vs. Pistons$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved PistonsDay before: Pistons ✓ Hornets 48% / Pistons 66%
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 83% / No 87%
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved UnderNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Yulia PutintsevaNo call on record
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved Team VitalityNo call on record
- Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved RaidersDay before: Chiefs ✗ Chiefs 36% / Raiders 19%
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved SpiritNo call on record
- China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Alina CharaevaNo call on record
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved OGNo call on record
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved OGNo call on record
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved RamsDay before: Rams ✓ Rams 30% / Eagles 16%
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved San Diego PadresDay before: Milwaukee Brewers ✗ Milwaukee Brewers 97% / San Diego Padres 65%
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Aurora GamingNo call on record
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved MVK EsportsNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Lions vs. Cardinals$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved LionsDay before: Cardinals ✗ Lions 2% / Cardinals 91%
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$1.3M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 74% / No 36%
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 64% / No 50%
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved BetBoom TeamNo call on record
- China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved Novak DjokovicNo call on record
- LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$1.3M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Kings vs. Clippers$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved ClippersDay before: Kings ✗ Kings 69% / Clippers 53%
- Bengals vs. Dolphins$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved BengalsDay before: Bengals ✓ Bengals 92% / Dolphins 50%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 83% / No 71%
- Texans vs. Titans$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved TexansDay before: Titans ✗ Texans 68% / Titans 92%
- Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Lorenzo MusettiNo call on record
- Titans vs. Colts$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved TitansDay before: Colts ✗ Titans 45% / Colts 65%
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 52% / No 29%
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Shopify RebellionNo call on record
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Hanyu Guo$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Hanyu GuoNo call on record
- Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 87% / No 92%
- LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Team WENo call on record
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved FlyQuestNo call on record
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 45% / No 96%
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved 9zDay before: 9z ✓ 9z 95% / Aurora Gaming 57%
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 74% / No 97%
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved 1WINNo call on record
- Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 91% / No 59%
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved Natus VincereNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Hubert HurkaczNo call on record
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved HANJIN BRIONNo call on record
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved OGNo call on record
- Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.2M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 91% / No 96%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved Astra InvictaNo call on record
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 95% / No 0%
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?$1.2M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 34% / No 52%
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.