Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved BNK FEARXDay before: BNK FEARX ✓ Team Vitality 14% / BNK FEARX 65%
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved BucksNo call on record
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved ThunderNo call on record
- China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Qinwen ZhengNo call on record
- LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 36% / No 2%
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved GamerLegionNo call on record
- Texas A&M vs. Missouri$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved MissouriNo call on record
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved Jelena OstapenkoNo call on record
- Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved OverNo call on record
- Houston vs. Utah$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved UtahDay before: Utah ✓ Houston 31% / Utah 82%
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved LuminosityNo call on record
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Milwaukee BrewersNo call on record
- Magic vs. Raptors$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved RaptorsDay before: Magic ✗ Magic 67% / Raptors 52%
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved Tampa Bay RaysDay before: Cleveland Guardians ✗ Tampa Bay Rays 6% / Cleveland Guardians 100%
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved Trail BlazersDay before: Suns ✗ Suns 85% / Trail Blazers 36%
- Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 61% / No 99%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Joao DominguesNo call on record
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 67% / No 78%
- Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved GamerLegionNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved JD GamingNo call on record
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?$1.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 65% / No 81%
- Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 91% / No 22%
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved 100 ThievesDay before: 100 Thieves ✓ 100 Thieves 63% / G2 Esports 22%
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved LegacyDay before: PARIVISION ✗ Legacy 17% / PARIVISION 37%
- LSU vs. Auburn$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved LSUNo call on record
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.0M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 78% / No 51%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winner$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved OGNo call on record
- Mavericks vs. Rockets$1.0M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved RocketsNo call on record
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers$998K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Milwaukee BrewersNo call on record
- LSU vs. Kentucky$998K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved KentuckyNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner$996K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik$993K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Jakub MensikNo call on record
- Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$992K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 90% / No 82%
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$991K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 39% / No 68%
- Will France win on 2026-10-05?$990K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 59% / No 76%
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C$990K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved G2 EsportsNo call on record
- Mavericks vs. Pacers$990K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved MavericksDay before: Mavericks ✓ Mavericks 77% / Pacers 24%
- Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee$988K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Kennesaw StateDay before: Middle Tennessee ✗ Kennesaw State 1% / Middle Tennessee 55%
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?$985K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 15% / No 90%
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?$984K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 4% / No 97%
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17?$983K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 18% / No 89%
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula$983K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Jelena OstapenkoNo call on record
- UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)$982K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Alexander VolkovDay before: Alexander Volkov ✓ Alexander Volkov 85% / Rizvan Kuniev 63%
- Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider$980K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved Diana ShnaiderNo call on record
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Astra Invicta (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B$980K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Astra InvictaNo call on record
- Memphis vs. Tulane$979K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved TulaneNo call on record
- Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger$975K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Ashlyn KruegerNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe$975K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Alejandro Davidovich FokinaNo call on record
- China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea$975K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved Hubert HurkaczNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$973K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$973K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved FURIANo call on record
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$972K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved LYONNo call on record
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?$971K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 37% / No 93%
- China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens$970K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Elise MertensNo call on record
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?$966K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 77% / No 97%
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$964K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs$962K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved LOUDDay before: LOUD ✓ Team Vitality 13% / LOUD 91%
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$961K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Cleveland GuardiansNo call on record
- Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$960K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved GamerLegionNo call on record
- Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$958K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 92% / No 70%
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5$958K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved UnderDay before: Over ✗ Over 62% / Under 35%
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-17?$958K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 5% / No 92%
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$955K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved Chicago White SoxNo call on record
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?$955K vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-15Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 78% / No 47%
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A$954K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Team FalconsNo call on record
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner$953K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Shopify RebellionNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$953K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Natus VincereDay before: G2 ✗ G2 93% / Natus Vincere 72%
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?$951K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 97% / No 97%
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?$951K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 15% / No 97%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery$946K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Karen KhachanovNo call on record
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?$945K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 14% / No 55%
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$944K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved PelicansNo call on record
- Jets vs. Patriots$942K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved PatriotsNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Dalibor Svrcina$940K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Dalibor SvrcinaNo call on record
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?$940K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 58% / No 75%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$939K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner$937K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$936K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Aurora GamingNo call on record
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$935K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 81% / No 67%
- China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva$933K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Mirra AndreevaNo call on record
- Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova$931K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Aliaksandra SasnovichDay before: Nikola Bartunkova ✗ Aliaksandra Sasnovich 47% / Nikola Bartunkova 56%
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$930K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)$927K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIA EsportsNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$925K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved 1WINNo call on record
- Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?$923K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 47% / No 99%
- Indiana vs. Nebraska$923K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved IndianaDay before: Indiana ✓ Indiana 74% / Nebraska 64%
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 Winner$923K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima$923K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Alexander BublikNo call on record
- Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald$923K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved Lorenzo CarboniNo call on record
- UCLA vs. Oregon$922K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved UCLANo call on record
- Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima$921K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved Flavio CobolliNo call on record
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal$920K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Maja ChwalinskaNo call on record
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 59% / No 95%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved DENDELE CSNo call on record
- Florida International vs. Jacksonville State$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Jacksonville StateNo call on record
- Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez$919K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Jil TeichmannNo call on record
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.