Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 54.5$821K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved UnderNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner$818K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka$818K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved Carlos AlcarazNo call on record
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?$817K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 15% / No 72%
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner$816K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs$816K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved T1No call on record
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?$815K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 8% / No 65%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$815K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?$815K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 65% / No 67%
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings$814K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved Dallas WingsNo call on record
- Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$814K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 92% / No 65%
- Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar$814K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Carlos AlcarazNo call on record
- LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$811K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved LOSNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner$811K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)$810K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved SeahawksDay before: Chiefs ✗ Chiefs 100% / Seahawks 99%
- Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz$807K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved Taylor FritzNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner$805K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved GamerLegionNo call on record
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?$804K vol. · iran · closed 2026-10-18Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 87% / No 46%
- Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21?$804K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved YesNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs$804K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved FURIANo call on record
- Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$803K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 54% / No 54%
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?$803K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 53% / No 29%
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?$801K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 90% / No 68%
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C$799K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?$799K vol. · tech · closed 2026-10-16Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 88% / No 87%
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$797K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 84% / No 80%
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$796K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved LGD GamingNo call on record
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner$796K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- Lisbon: Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery$796K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved Raul BrancaccioNo call on record
- Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston$795K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Western KentuckyDay before: Sam Houston ✗ Western Kentucky 0% / Sam Houston 40%
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$795K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved TYLOONo call on record
- Anguilla vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 1.5$791K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved OverNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner$790K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 Winner$789K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova$788K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Leylah FernandezNo call on record
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 1 Winner$788K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved LEGIONNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs$786K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer$785K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Ryan NijboerNo call on record
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?$783K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved NoNo call on record
- Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5$781K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved OverNo call on record
- Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$780K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 91% / No 8%
- European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff$780K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved Jan-Lennard StruffNo call on record
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$778K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Karmine CorpNo call on record
- China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Andrey Rublev$774K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved Alex de MinaurNo call on record
- Celtics vs. 76ers$772K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved CelticsDay before: 76ers ✗ Celtics 17% / 76ers 94%
- Blues vs. Senators$770K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved BluesNo call on record
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-12?$769K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 43% / No 91%
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$769K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 89% / No 60%
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$769K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved Team LiquidNo call on record
- Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier$769K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved 1winNo call on record
- Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5$769K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved OverNo call on record
- Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?$768K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 60% / No 63%
- Duke vs. Virginia$766K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved DukeNo call on record
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?$766K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-17Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 59% / No 33%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$765K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Ningbo Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic$764K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved Belinda BencicNo call on record
- Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider$763K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved Diana ShnaiderDay before: Alexandra Eala ✗ Alexandra Eala 85% / Diana Shnaider 3%
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$762K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved AstralisNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong$761K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Quentin HalysNo call on record
- CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5$756K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved OverNo call on record
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee$755K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Ashlyn KruegerNo call on record
- Alabama vs. Tennessee$755K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved TennesseeDay before: Alabama ✗ Alabama 97% / Tennessee 11%
- Michigan State vs. UCLA$754K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved UCLANo call on record
- Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur$753K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved Alex de MinaurNo call on record
- China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek$753K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Elise MertensDay before: Elise Mertens ✓ Elise Mertens 92% / Iga Swiatek 67%
- Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce$752K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved Stan WawrinkaNo call on record
- Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)$752K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved CowboysDay before: Eagles ✗ Cowboys 99% / Eagles 99%
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?$752K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 79% / No 90%
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$751K vol. · tech · closed 2026-10-23Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 63% / No 24%
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$750K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 93% / No 61%
- LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner$750K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved FlyQuestNo call on record
- UNLV vs. Air Force$750K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved Air ForceDay before: UNLV ✗ UNLV 99% / Air Force 73%
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?$750K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 97% / No 98%
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune$749K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved Holger RuneNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner$747K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved VitalityNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 1 Winner$747K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved SpiritNo call on record
- Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur$747K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved Katarzyna KawaNo call on record
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$745K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 94% / No 26%
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?$744K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 93% / No 85%
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$744K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Cleveland GuardiansNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NIP - Map 1 Winner$741K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Team FalconsNo call on record
- LoL: GAM Esports vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner$741K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Shopify RebellionNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot$741K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved Tommy PaulNo call on record
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5$741K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved UnderDay before: Under ✓ Over 1% / Under 74%
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$740K vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-20Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 60% / No 35%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz$740K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved Stefanos TsitsipasNo call on record
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$738K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)$738K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Ohio StateDay before: Ohio State ✓ Ohio State 74% / Iowa 27%
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$738K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved FURIANo call on record
- Almaty Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Etcheverry$737K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved Mattia BellucciDay before: Mattia Bellucci ✓ Mattia Bellucci 80% / Tomas Etcheverry 4%
- Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5$736K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-23Resolved OverDay before: Under ✗ Over 12% / Under 17%
- China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun$735K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved Coco GauffNo call on record
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?$735K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved YesNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs$734K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved PARIVISIONDay before: PARIVISION ✓ PARIVISION 74% / magic 0%
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)$734K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved FC AugsburgNo call on record
- Florida State vs. Louisville$733K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved LouisvilleNo call on record
- Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci$732K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved Terence AtmaneNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs$732K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved MIBRNo call on record
- LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$732K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved LGD GamingNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu$731K vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Alexander ZverevNo call on record
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.