Archive · October 2026
Polymarket markets resolved in October 2026
1000 big markets. A day before the close, smart money leaned on 517 of them and was right on 229 (44%).
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Aurora GamingNo call on record
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved Los Angeles DodgersNo call on record
- Packers vs. Buccaneers$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved PackersDay before: Packers ✓ Packers 77% / Buccaneers 47%
- Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 58% / No 8%
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved YesNo call on record
- Iran leadership change by September 30?$1.7M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 70% / No 74%
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved Milwaukee BrewersDay before: Milwaukee Brewers ✓ Los Angeles Dodgers 4% / Milwaukee Brewers 98%
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved HANJIN BRIONNo call on record
- Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved PittsburghDay before: Virginia Tech ✗ Pittsburgh 2% / Virginia Tech 76%
- Raptors vs. Wizards$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved RaptorsDay before: Wizards ✗ Raptors 48% / Wizards 61%
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?$1.7M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 57% / No 80%
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-28Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved Aurora GamingNo call on record
- Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved EaglesDay before: Jaguars ✗ Jaguars 67% / Eagles 39%
- Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved LOUDNo call on record
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved Atlanta BravesNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved FURIANo call on record
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved NuggetsDay before: Nuggets ✓ Nuggets 32% / Pelicans 32%
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner$1.7M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved Dplus KIANo call on record
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-12Resolved Milwaukee BrewersDay before: Milwaukee Brewers ✓ Los Angeles Dodgers 83% / Milwaukee Brewers 98%
- Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 42% / No 90%
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved BNK FEARXDay before: BNK FEARX ✓ BNK FEARX 73% / Team WE 57%
- Chargers vs. Seahawks$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved SeahawksDay before: Seahawks ✓ Chargers 15% / Seahawks 82%
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 2% / No 99%
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved ThunderNo call on record
- Bears vs. Falcons$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved BearsDay before: Bears ✓ Bears 95% / Falcons 60%
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved AuroraNo call on record
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-21Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 17% / No 96%
- Warriors vs. Suns$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved SunsDay before: Suns ✓ Warriors 31% / Suns 52%
- Spurs vs. Jazz$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved SpursDay before: Spurs ✓ Spurs 73% / Jazz 43%
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$1.6M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 51% / No 22%
- Wizards vs. Cavaliers$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved CavaliersDay before: Cavaliers ✓ Wizards 19% / Cavaliers 45%
- Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-25?$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 44% / No 94%
- Ohio State vs. Indiana$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved Ohio StateDay before: Ohio State ✓ Ohio State 45% / Indiana 36%
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved Cloud9No call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved SpiritNo call on record
- Broncos vs. Chargers$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved BroncosDay before: Chargers ✗ Broncos 55% / Chargers 79%
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 94% / No 48%
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team YandexNo call on record
- Timberwolves vs. Magic$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-24Resolved TimberwolvesDay before: Magic ✗ Timberwolves 46% / Magic 51%
- Rockets vs. Hawks$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved RocketsNo call on record
- China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved Novak DjokovicNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$1.6M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved AuroraNo call on record
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 63% / No 23%
- Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 77% / No 85%
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 51% / No 86%
- Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved PARIVISIONNo call on record
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved JD GamingDay before: Natus Vincere ✗ Natus Vincere 38% / JD Gaming 28%
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved BNK FEARXNo call on record
- Ravens vs. Browns$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved BrownsDay before: Ravens ✗ Ravens 50% / Browns 45%
- FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved UnderDay before: Under ✓ Over 0% / Under 25%
- Alabama vs. Mississippi State$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved AlabamaDay before: Alabama ✓ Alabama 98% / Mississippi State 97%
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved GrizzliesDay before: Grizzlies ✓ Jazz 39% / Grizzlies 99%
- Knicks vs. Bulls$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-29Resolved KnicksDay before: Bulls ✗ Knicks 29% / Bulls 42%
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-09Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 92% / No 94%
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved WarriorsNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved SpiritNo call on record
- Hawks vs. Rockets$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved RocketsDay before: Hawks ✗ Hawks 74% / Rockets 63%
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved Maja ChwalinskaNo call on record
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 49% / No 97%
- LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved MVK EsportsNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved MOUZNo call on record
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18?$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 10% / No 64%
- LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-02Resolved T1 AcademyDay before: T1 Academy ✓ Solary 50% / T1 Academy 64%
- LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved Team WENo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-16Resolved Sonay KartalNo call on record
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-26Resolved YesDay before: Yes ✓ Yes 85% / No 7%
- Bears vs. Packers$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved PackersDay before: Packers ✓ Bears 34% / Packers 82%
- Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved CowboysDay before: Cowboys ✓ Cowboys 87% / Eagles 82%
- Magic vs. Knicks$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved MagicDay before: Magic ✓ Magic 87% / Knicks 62%
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-01Resolved NoDay before: Yes ✗ Yes 42% / No 24%
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved LGD GamingNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-05Resolved 1WINNo call on record
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved HANJIN BRIONNo call on record
- Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Thiago Seyboth WildNo call on record
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-11Resolved Team SpiritNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-06Resolved 9zNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-18Resolved Alejandro Davidovich FokinaNo call on record
- Almaty Open: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-19Resolved Mikhail KukushkinNo call on record
- Will England win on 2026-10-03?$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-03Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 31% / No 81%
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 65% / No 72%
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)$1.5M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-13Resolved BillsDay before: Bills ✓ Rams 72% / Bills 84%
- Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.5M vol. · politics · closed 2026-10-05Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 50% / No 55%
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-22Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 57% / No 58%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-20Resolved OverDay before: Over ✓ Over 60% / Under 32%
- LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-17Resolved MVK EsportsNo call on record
- Broncos vs. Cardinals$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-25Resolved BroncosNo call on record
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved FlyQuestNo call on record
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-27Resolved fnaticNo call on record
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved Liverpool FCDay before: LASK Linz ✗ Liverpool FC 78% / LASK Linz 98%
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-15Resolved BetBoom TeamNo call on record
- Jets vs. Bears$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved BearsDay before: Bears ✓ Jets 77% / Bears 93%
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-14Resolved NoDay before: No ✓ Yes 47% / No 89%
- LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-26Resolved LOSDay before: LOS ✓ LOS 83% / Team Secret Whales 57%
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-09Resolved Yi ZhouDay before: Yi Zhou ✓ Yi Zhou 99% / Lorenzo Musetti 96%
- Kentucky vs. South Carolina$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-04Resolved KentuckyDay before: South Carolina ✗ Kentucky 5% / South Carolina 27%
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-07Resolved Los Angeles DodgersNo call on record
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-08Resolved Pablo Carreno BustaNo call on record
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?$1.4M vol. · sports · closed 2026-10-10Resolved YesDay before: No ✗ Yes 32% / No 88%
How often smart money is right, against the price. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.