Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-8.5)”?
Sports · $185K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Thunder at 50¢ and Suns at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Suns. $185K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
98% of the money on Thunder and 32% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 67 points.
95 wallets hold a position worth $143K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Thunder holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $63K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 652 markets (91% won). The largest Suns holder is nigiri99, with $15K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 15,266 markets (46% won).
- Smart money share
- 98%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $71K
- Holders' winrate
- 89%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 32%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $72K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| monkeymashingkeyboardwhale | $63K | +$329K | 91% of 652 |
| SunlineTickerwhale | $3.0K | +$334K | 71% of 1,340 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $1.1K | +$1.4M | 53% of 129,543 |
| twoplustwobalanced | $986 | +$3.5K | 83% of 284 |
| 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989 | $495 | -$7.5K | 87% of 1,511 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $15K | -$1.1M | 46% of 15,266 |
| jakepaulthegoat2008 | $15K | -$1.1M | 51% of 549 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $11K | +$2.9M | 56% of 19,932 |
| 0xA0b86991c6218b36c1d19D4a29Eb0cE3606eB4whale | $7.4K | +$562K | 48% of 421 |
| TheOneto3 | $6.5K | -$33K | 34% of 222 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Suns vs. Thunder
- Suns vs. Thunder$642K vol.Suns 26%Thunder 75%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -9.5$123K vol.Thunder 46%Suns 55%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 218.5$27K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -7.5$24K vol.Thunder 54%Suns 47%Smart money: Suns
- Spread -10.5$21K vol.Thunder 43%Suns 57%Smart money: Suns
- O/U 190.5$20K vol.Over 98%Under 3%Smart money split
- O/U 220.5$20K vol.Over 54%Under 47%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$14K vol.Thunder 56%Suns 44%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -11.5$5.4K vol.Thunder 40%Suns 61%Smart money split
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5$4.3K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Spread -12.5$3.1K vol.Thunder 37%Suns 64%Smart money: Thunder
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$36M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$12M vol.Yes 76%No 24%Smart money split
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$11M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.7M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$8.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-8.5)"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $143K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 94 of them. The largest Thunder holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $63K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 652 markets (91% won). The largest Suns holder is nigiri99, with $15K on it, $1.1M lifetime loss over 15,266 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-8.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 50¢ and Suns at 51¢, a 51% implied chance of Suns. $185K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Thunder and 32% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 67 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.