Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-9.5)”?
Sports · $123K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Thunder at 46¢ and Suns at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Suns. $123K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
78% of the money on Thunder and 41% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 37 points.
149 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Thunder holder is gmpm2, with $12K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 919 markets (52% won). The largest Suns holder is bands1, with $16K on it, $409K lifetime loss over 864 markets (50% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.0K on Suns.
- Smart money share
- 78%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 41%
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $43K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3.0K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gmpm2whale | $12K | +$1.9M | 52% of 919 |
| monkeymashingkeyboardwhale | $4.5K | +$329K | 91% of 652 |
| ppku6298 | $4.5K | -$51K | 73% of 86 |
| 0x6b25…7a69whale | $2.2K | +$24K | 52% of 1,946 |
| cay520 | $1.9K | -$35K | 85% of 40 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| bands1 | $16K | -$409K | 50% of 864 |
| nigiri99 | $5.9K | -$1.1M | 46% of 15,266 |
| SunlineTickerwhale | $4.1K | +$334K | 71% of 1,340 |
| ianf2026balanced | $4.0K | +$11K | 76% of 97 |
| clutchhitsniper | $3.0K | +$75K | 95% of 92 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Suns vs. Thunder
- Suns vs. Thunder$642K vol.Suns 26%Thunder 75%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -8.5$185K vol.Thunder 50%Suns 51%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 218.5$27K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -7.5$24K vol.Thunder 54%Suns 47%Smart money: Suns
- Spread -10.5$21K vol.Thunder 43%Suns 57%Smart money: Suns
- O/U 190.5$20K vol.Over 98%Under 3%Smart money split
- O/U 220.5$20K vol.Over 54%Under 47%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$14K vol.Thunder 56%Suns 44%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -11.5$5.4K vol.Thunder 40%Suns 61%Smart money split
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5$4.3K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Spread -12.5$3.1K vol.Thunder 37%Suns 64%Smart money: Thunder
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-9.5)"?
149 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 148 of them. The largest Thunder holder is gmpm2, with $12K on it, $1.9M lifetime profit over 919 markets (52% won). The largest Suns holder is bands1, with $16K on it, $409K lifetime loss over 864 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-9.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 46¢ and Suns at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of Suns. $123K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Thunder and 41% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.