Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-10.5)”?
Sports · $21K volume · Ends October 27, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Thunder at 43¢ and Suns at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Suns. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
84% of the money on Thunder and 95% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 10 points.
80 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Thunder holder is hi774c, with $2.1K on it, $164K lifetime profit over 1,072 markets (86% won). The largest Suns holder is mde4life1986, with $4.4K on it, $257K lifetime profit over 223 markets (82% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4.4K on Suns.
- Smart money share
- 84%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $7.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 95%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $10.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4.4K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| hi774cwhale | $2.1K | +$164K | 86% of 1,072 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $1.5K | +$2.9M | 56% of 19,932 |
| ComingBack | $888 | -$665K | 97% of 587 |
| SunlineTickerwhale | $662 | +$334K | 71% of 1,340 |
| RN1whale | $425 | +$13M | 60% of 33,866 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mde4life1986sniper | $4.4K | +$257K | 82% of 223 |
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $3.5K | +$2.0M | 57% of 25,912 |
| Herdoniawhale | $605 | +$108K | 62% of 2,689 |
| omnibus-076daawhale | $474 | +$3.5M | 72% of 15,464 |
| fleshdaddybalanced | $244 | +$3.0K | 67% of 215 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Suns vs. Thunder
- Suns vs. Thunder$642K vol.Suns 26%Thunder 75%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -8.5$185K vol.Thunder 50%Suns 51%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -9.5$123K vol.Thunder 46%Suns 55%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 218.5$27K vol.Over 56%Under 44%Smart money: Over
- Spread -7.5$24K vol.Thunder 54%Suns 47%Smart money: Suns
- O/U 190.5$20K vol.Over 98%Under 3%Smart money split
- O/U 220.5$20K vol.Over 54%Under 47%Smart money split
- Spread -6.5$14K vol.Thunder 56%Suns 44%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -11.5$5.4K vol.Thunder 40%Suns 61%Smart money split
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5$4.3K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- Spread -12.5$3.1K vol.Thunder 37%Suns 64%Smart money: Thunder
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-10.5)"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Thunder holder is hi774c, with $2.1K on it, $164K lifetime profit over 1,072 markets (86% won). The largest Suns holder is mde4life1986, with $4.4K on it, $257K lifetime profit over 223 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-10.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 43¢ and Suns at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Suns. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 27, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Thunder and 95% of the money on Suns is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Suns, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 27, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.