Who's betting on “FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5”?
Sports · $374K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Over at 43¢ and Under at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Under. $374K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
12% of the money on Over and 87% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Under, by 90 points.
142 wallets hold a position worth $350K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 142 of them. The largest Over holder is RJW1, with $107K on it, $534K lifetime loss over 122 markets (98% won). The largest Under holder is omnibus-076daa, with $123K on it, $3.3M lifetime profit over 14,675 markets (72% won).
- Smart money share
- 12% ▲ 12 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $149K
- Holders' winrate
- 92%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 87% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $201K
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJW1 | $107K | -$534K | 98% of 122 |
| 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | $13K | -$68K | 93% of 1,992 |
| 0x73bcd24d510Ff4e4D5FEac6aec763C5511E246CE-1767607363396whale | $9.2K | +$210K | 66% of 333 |
| 0x1bc4…ab52 | $5.0K | -$2.3K | 74% of 31 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $3.6K | +$1.2M | 53% of 121,353 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| omnibus-076daawhale | $123K | +$3.3M | 72% of 14,675 |
| rabbitfoot1whale | $46K | +$189K | 92% of 576 |
| todouzai | $23K | -$346K | 38% of 115 |
| iWasEnoughwhale | $1.6K | +$48K | 53% of 22,795 |
| Saber-greedwhale | $1.5K | +$12K | 61% of 2,774 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets
- Both Teams to Score$97K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- FC Barcelona (-1.5)$66K vol.FC Barcelona 41%Real Madrid CF 60%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- O/U 3.5$18K vol.Over 62%Under 38%Smart money: Under
- Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$11K vol.Real Madrid CF 11%FC Barcelona 90%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- O/U 0.5$11K vol.Over 99%Under 1%Smart money: Over
- Real Madrid CF (-2.5)$8.6K vol.Real Madrid CF 4%FC Barcelona 96%Smart money: FC Barcelona
- FC Barcelona (-2.5)$7.0K vol.FC Barcelona 24%Real Madrid CF 77%Smart money: FC Barcelona
- O/U 7.5$7.0K vol.Over 7%Under 93%Smart money: Over
- O/U 5.5$6.3K vol.Over 26%Under 75%Smart money: Over
- Real Madrid CF (-3.5)$4.9K vol.Real Madrid CF 2%FC Barcelona 98%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- O/U 2.5$4.7K vol.Over 81%Under 20%Smart money: Over
- O/U 6.5$4.2K vol.Over 14%Under 87%Smart money: Over
- O/U 8.5$3.3K vol.Over 3%Under 97%Smart money: Over
- FC Barcelona O/U 4.5$3.3K vol.Over 12%Under 88%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5"?
142 wallets hold a position worth $350K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 142 of them. The largest Over holder is RJW1, with $107K on it, $534K lifetime loss over 122 markets (98% won). The largest Under holder is omnibus-076daa, with $123K on it, $3.3M lifetime profit over 14,675 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5"?
Polymarket prices Over at 43¢ and Under at 57¢, a 57% implied chance of Under. $374K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Over and 87% of the money on Under is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Under, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Under, by 90 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.