
Who's betting on “Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)”?
Sports · $67K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices FC Barcelona at 42¢ and Real Madrid CF at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Real Madrid CF. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
6% of the money on FC Barcelona and 51% of the money on Real Madrid CF is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Real Madrid CF, by 45 points.
122 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest FC Barcelona holder is nigiri99, with $20K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 14,443 markets (46% won). The largest Real Madrid CF holder is 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542, with $12K on it, $67K lifetime loss over 1,994 markets (93% won).
- Smart money share
- 6%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $24K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 51%
- Holders
- 63
- Money on it
- $34K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $20K | -$1.5M | 46% of 14,443 |
| Forecastication2 | $2.2K | -$338K | 85% of 2,799 |
| Flaznorpwhale | $788 | +$1.2M | 53% of 121,365 |
| 0x6787cFaD803AE89539347a812f6e2842a75cff88-1768822442073 | $296 | -$2.9K | 48% of 201 |
| teateateaaa | $201 | -$2.5K | 70% of 54 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | $12K | -$67K | 93% of 1,994 |
| 0x9f15…bdb3whale | $11K | +$476K | 87% of 2,054 |
| GoalLineGhost | $3.0K | -$2.2M | 60% of 40,919 |
| VeryLucky888whale | $1.4K | +$465K | 60% of 52,715 |
| 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989 | $1.2K | -$15K | 87% of 1,387 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets
- O/U 4.5$375K vol.Over 43%Under 57%Smart money: Under
- Both Teams to Score$98K vol.Yes 75%No 25%Smart money: No
- O/U 3.5$18K vol.Over 63%Under 38%Smart money: Under
- Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$11K vol.Real Madrid CF 11%FC Barcelona 90%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- O/U 0.5$11K vol.Over 99%Under 1%Smart money: Over
- O/U 6.5$9.8K vol.Over 14%Under 86%Smart money: Under
- Real Madrid CF (-2.5)$8.6K vol.Real Madrid CF 4%FC Barcelona 96%Smart money: FC Barcelona
- O/U 7.5$8.3K vol.Over 7%Under 93%Smart money: Over
- FC Barcelona (-2.5)$7.1K vol.FC Barcelona 24%Real Madrid CF 77%Smart money: FC Barcelona
- O/U 5.5$6.8K vol.Over 26%Under 74%Smart money: Over
- Real Madrid CF (-3.5)$4.9K vol.Real Madrid CF 2%FC Barcelona 98%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- O/U 2.5$4.7K vol.Over 81%Under 19%Smart money: Over
- FC Barcelona (-3.5)$3.7K vol.FC Barcelona 12%Real Madrid CF 89%Smart money: Real Madrid CF
- Real Madrid CF (-4.5)$3.6K vol.Real Madrid CF 2%FC Barcelona 98%Smart money: FC Barcelona
- O/U 8.5$3.3K vol.Over 3%Under 97%Smart money: Over
- FC Barcelona O/U 4.5$3.3K vol.Over 12%Under 88%Smart money split
Who's betting on FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)"?
122 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest FC Barcelona holder is nigiri99, with $20K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 14,443 markets (46% won). The largest Real Madrid CF holder is 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542, with $12K on it, $67K lifetime loss over 1,994 markets (93% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)"?
Polymarket prices FC Barcelona at 42¢ and Real Madrid CF at 59¢, a 59% implied chance of Real Madrid CF. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
6% of the money on FC Barcelona and 51% of the money on Real Madrid CF is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Real Madrid CF, by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.