Who's betting on “Spread: Thunder (-16.5)”?
Sports · $1.9M volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Thunder at 23¢ and Clippers at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of Clippers. $1.9M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
96% of the money on Thunder and 12% of the money on Clippers is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 84 points.
211 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 209 of them. The largest Thunder holder is BreakTheBank, with $153K on it, $10M lifetime profit over 626 markets (87% won). The largest Clippers holder is googleplay, with $943K on it, $1.7M lifetime loss over 28 markets (64% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $8.2K on Thunder.
- Smart money share
- 96%
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $369K
- Holders' winrate
- 82%
- Snipers
- 1 · $8.2K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 12%
- Holders
- 103
- Money on it
- $1.2M
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBankwhale | $153K | +$10M | 87% of 626 |
| Jokerxing7whale | $87K | +$596K | 97% of 64 |
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465whale | $28K | +$5.4M | 45% of 5,755 |
| gmpm2whale | $20K | +$1.8M | 52% of 900 |
| Donkey14whale | $19K | +$13K | 75% of 566 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| googleplay | $943K | -$1.7M | 64% of 28 |
| LTandBB | $56K | -$101K | 100% of 8 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $45K | +$3.1M | 56% of 19,528 |
| mooseborzoii | $32K | -$588K | 72% of 1,939 |
| 0x9f15…bdb3whale | $26K | +$436K | 87% of 2,081 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Clippers vs. Thunder
- Clippers vs. Thunder$633K vol.Clippers 17%Thunder 84%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 223.5$173K vol.Over 5%Under 95%Smart money: Under
- Spread -15.5$148K vol.Thunder 27%Clippers 74%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -13.5$139K vol.Thunder 34%Clippers 66%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -17.5$82K vol.Thunder 21%Clippers 79%Smart money: Clippers
- Spread -10.5$62K vol.Thunder 45%Clippers 56%Smart money: Clippers
- O/U 221.5$51K vol.Over 8%Under 93%Smart money: Under
- O/U 225.5$42K vol.Over 4%Under 96%Smart money split
- Spread -18.5$37K vol.Thunder 18%Clippers 82%Smart money: Clippers
- Spread -11.5$36K vol.Thunder 41%Clippers 59%Smart money: Thunder
- Spread -14.5$30K vol.Thunder 30%Clippers 70%Smart money: Thunder
- O/U 219.5$14K vol.Over 10%Under 90%Smart money: Over
- Spread -12.5$11K vol.Thunder 37%Clippers 63%Smart money split
- O/U 205.5$8.4K vol.Over 43%Under 57%Smart money: Over
- Spread -19.5$8.4K vol.Thunder 15%Clippers 85%Smart money split
- O/U 207.5$7.1K vol.Over 36%Under 65%Smart money split
- O/U 209.5$6.9K vol.Over 30%Under 71%Smart money split
- O/U 235.5$6.5K vol.Over 1%Under 99%Smart money: Under
- O/U 227.5$6.1K vol.Over 3%Under 97%Smart money: Under
- O/U 217.5$5.7K vol.Over 12%Under 88%Smart money: Under
- Spread -26.5$4.9K vol.Thunder 5%Clippers 96%Smart money: Clippers
- O/U 215.5$4.7K vol.Over 16%Under 84%Smart money split
- O/U 231.5$3.9K vol.Over 2%Under 98%Smart money: Under
- O/U 213.5$3.8K vol.Over 19%Under 81%Smart money: Over
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Thunder (-16.5)"?
211 wallets hold a position worth $1.6M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 209 of them. The largest Thunder holder is BreakTheBank, with $153K on it, $10M lifetime profit over 626 markets (87% won). The largest Clippers holder is googleplay, with $943K on it, $1.7M lifetime loss over 28 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Thunder (-16.5)"?
Polymarket prices Thunder at 23¢ and Clippers at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of Clippers. $1.9M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Thunder and 12% of the money on Clippers is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Thunder, by 84 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.