Who's betting on “Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage”?

Sports · $1.5M volume · Ends October 28, 2026 · Updated October 28, 2026

Polymarket prices Spirit at 28¢ and Natus Vincere at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Natus Vincere. $1.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

29% of the money on Spirit and 58% of the money on Natus Vincere is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Natus Vincere, by 29 points.

1,150 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,134 of them. The largest Spirit holder is lllllllIlll, with $36K on it, $212K lifetime loss over 325 markets (94% won). The largest Natus Vincere holder is juice-fruit, with $139K on it, $700K lifetime profit over 52 markets (96% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $26 on Spirit.

Spirit28%
Smart money share
29%
Holders
725
Money on it
$324K
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
1 · $26
Insider flags
0
Natus Vincere72%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
58%
Holders
425
Money on it
$814K
Holders' winrate
72%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Spirit
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
lllllllIlll$36K-$212K94% of 325
tankfest2027$28K-$360K53% of 249
VPenguinwhale$18K+$1.2M53% of 221
ZANOVO$14K-$149K44% of 129
0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239$14K-$359K82% of 298
Natus Vincere
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
juice-fruitwhale$139K+$700K96% of 52
omnibus-076daawhale$101K+$3.5M73% of 16,252
jakepaulthegoat2008$96K-$1.5M53% of 580
CORGII$84K-$156K96% of 289
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740$45K-$414K82% of 506
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage"?

1,150 wallets hold a position worth $1.1M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,134 of them. The largest Spirit holder is lllllllIlll, with $36K on it, $212K lifetime loss over 325 markets (94% won). The largest Natus Vincere holder is juice-fruit, with $139K on it, $700K lifetime profit over 52 markets (96% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage"?

Polymarket prices Spirit at 28¢ and Natus Vincere at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of Natus Vincere. $1.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

29% of the money on Spirit and 58% of the money on Natus Vincere is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Natus Vincere, by 29 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.