Who's betting on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 117 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 59 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
117 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is classified, with $6.2K on it, $998K lifetime profit over 1,578 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is Myway, with $953 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 213 markets (60% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $55 on No.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $55
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$18K on it
- 1classified58% won of 1,578 · whale$6.2K+$998K lifetime
- 2laureman70% won of 291 · whale$3.7K+$7.0K lifetime
- 30x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-176268842113675% won of 419$2.8K−$1.5K lifetime
- 4paddaa58% won of 1,586 · whale$1.2K+$297K lifetime
- 5eCash68% won of 700 · whale$810+$286K lifetime
No$4.7K on it
- 1Myway60% won of 213 · whale$953+$42K lifetime
- 20x750ce7194E53cF67453420d94169b34913e94b64-177204845713360% won of 20 · noise$676+$1.2K lifetime
- 30x584cabCF9eF8FAAD58E50618cb7c07883f30623F-176916719482780% won of 81 · balanced$328+$1.5K lifetime
- 4rocky4202453% won of 997 · whale$244+$24K lifetime
- 5tr100043% won of 1,049 · noise$225+$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
18 more- October 31$4.3M vol.Yes 99%No 1%Smart money: Yes
- December 31$1.5M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: Yes
- November 30$754K vol.Yes 53%No 47%Smart money: Yes
- November 15$534K vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- November 3$148K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Too little scored money to compare
- November 2$145K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Too little scored money to compare
- November 4$128K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Too little scored money to compare
- November 1$108K vol.Yes 99%No 1%Too little scored money to compare
- November 5$62K vol.Yes 89%No 12%Too little scored money to compare
- October 30$36K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Too little scored money to compare
- November 6$24K vol.Yes 85%No 16%Too little scored money to compare
- September 30$3.3M vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 21$1.4M vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 15$955K vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 18$804K vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 27$511K vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 24$294K vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
- October 9$60K vol. · ClosedResolved YesToo little scored money to compare
Other big iran markets
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.8M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.7M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.2M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$1.0M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$786K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?$765K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?"?
117 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is classified, with $6.2K on it, $998K lifetime profit over 1,578 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is Myway, with $953 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 213 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.