Polymarket Markets & Smart Money Odds

Hot Markets

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 7%▼ 1$2.7M

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 94%▲ 1$1.8M

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 30%▼ 3$1.3M

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 41%▼ 4$1.2M

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 7%▲ 1$1.2M US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 93%▼ 4$838.7K

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19%▲ 1$761K

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit 69%$751K

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsNemiga 42%$711.9K

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 24%▼ 4$692.1K

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 70%▲ 3$641.6K

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 28%▼ 3$617.4K

LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid 81%▲ 1$537.9K

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 71%▲ 3$505K

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 72%▲ 3$453.6K

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 6%▲ 1$421.6K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 25%▲ 5$326.5K

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Yes 20%▲ 17$293.2K

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 23%▼ 5$279.3K

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?Yes 75%▼ 6$270.7K

Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$31,372,343 Vol.

1 of 5

Democratic Party$17,266,903 Vol.94%Republican Party$14,105,440 Vol.7%

Democratic PartyRepublican Party

$155,529,910

24h Polymarket Volume

trend since 11:54 AM

21,957

Open Events

trend since 11:54 AM

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%YesNo

Gavin Newsom13%YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%YesNo

Jon Ossoff$ Yes9%YesNo

Marco Rubio9%YesNo

Kamala Harris4%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance$ Yes40%YesNo

Marco Rubio19%YesNo

Ron DeSantis4%YesNo

Tucker Carlson3%YesNo

Ted Cruz3%YesNo

Donald Trump Jr.2%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen$ No ✓42%YesNo

Édouard Philippe$ Yes17%YesNo

David Lisnard$ No ✓16%YesNo

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%YesNo

Raphaël Glucksmann3%YesNo

Jordan Bardella

Netanyahu out by...?

June 30, 2027$ Yes40%YesNo

March 31, 202726%YesNo

December 3121%YesNo

$124.9M Vol.3 outcomes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro$ Yes ✓84%YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez14%YesNo

Edmundo González<1%YesNo

No Head of State<1%YesNo

María Corina Machado<1%YesNo

$99.2M Vol.5 outcomes · 52 decided hidden

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu$ No ✓40%YesNo

Gadi Eizenkot34%YesNo

Naftali Bennett5%YesNo

Avigdor Lieberman3%YesNo

Israel Katz1%YesNo

Yossi Cohen<1%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 3110%YesNo

$76.9M Vol.1 outcome · 1 decided hidden

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Smart $ on No +39 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 61%Smart 44%

NoWR 74%Smart 83%

$76M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%YesNo

$75.7M Vol.1 outcome · 1 decided hidden

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers$ No ✓14%YesNo

Buffalo Bills$ No ✓12%YesNo

Kansas City Chiefs$ No ✓10%YesNo

Seattle Seahawks8%YesNo

Chicago Bears$ No ✓7%YesNo

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Smart $ on No +40 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 79%Smart 16%

NoWR 76%Smart 56%

$66.8M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona23%YesNo

Paris Saint-Germain17%YesNo

Bayern Munich14%YesNo

Arsenal13%YesNo

Real Madrid$ No ✓13%YesNo

Manchester City7%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)$ Yes ✓97%YesNo

1 (25 bps)$ No ✓1%YesNo

$55.1M Vol.2 outcomes · 11 decided hidden

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Smart $ on No +48 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 71%Smart 16%

NoWR 77%Smart 65%

$45.4M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep$ Yes ✓70%YesNo

R Senate, D House24%YesNo

Republicans Sweep$ No ✓7%YesNo

D Senate, R House$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$45.3M Vol.4 outcomes · 1 decided hidden

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3162%YesNo

December 3140%YesNo

November 30$ No ✓27%YesNo

November 1519%YesNo

November 27%YesNo

October 313%YesNo

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra$ Yes ✓97%YesNo

Steve Hilton$ No ✓3%YesNo

$43.3M Vol.2 outcomes · 43 decided hidden

Hot Markets

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 7%▼ 1$2.7M

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 94%▲ 1$1.8M

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 30%▼ 3$1.3M

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 41%▼ 4$1.2M

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 7%▲ 1$1.2M US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes 93%▼ 4$838.7K

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19%▲ 1$761K

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe PlayoffsTeam Spirit 69%$751K

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsNemiga 42%$711.9K

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 24%▼ 4$692.1K

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 70%▲ 3$641.6K

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 28%▼ 3$617.4K

LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid 81%▲ 1$537.9K

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 71%▲ 3$505K

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 72%▲ 3$453.6K

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 6%▲ 1$421.6K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes 25%▲ 5$326.5K

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Yes 20%▲ 17$293.2K

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes 23%▼ 5$279.3K

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?Yes 75%▼ 6$270.7K

Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$31,372,343 Vol.

1 of 5

Democratic Party$17,266,903 Vol.94%Republican Party$14,105,440 Vol.7%

Democratic PartyRepublican Party

$155,529,910

24h Polymarket Volume

trend since 11:54 AM

21,957

Open Events

trend since 11:54 AM

Hot Traders PnL 7dROI

googleplay $3.9M▲ 14.0%BreakTheBank $3.1M▲ 7.4%0xb0e7…39d2 $1.5M▲ 15530.9%UpTheBlues $1.4M▲ 3.5%All traders →

Hot Traders PnL 7dROI

googleplay $3.9M▲ 14.0%BreakTheBank $3.1M▲ 7.4%0xb0e7…39d2 $1.5M▲ 15530.9%UpTheBlues $1.4M▲ 3.5%All traders →

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%YesNo

Gavin Newsom13%YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%YesNo

Jon Ossoff$ Yes9%YesNo

Marco Rubio9%YesNo

Kamala Harris4%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance$ Yes40%YesNo

Marco Rubio19%YesNo

Ron DeSantis4%YesNo

Tucker Carlson3%YesNo

Ted Cruz3%YesNo

Donald Trump Jr.2%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen$ No ✓42%YesNo

Édouard Philippe$ Yes17%YesNo

David Lisnard$ No ✓16%YesNo

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%YesNo

Raphaël Glucksmann3%YesNo

Jordan Bardella

Netanyahu out by...?

June 30, 2027$ Yes40%YesNo

March 31, 202726%YesNo

December 3121%YesNo

$124.9M Vol.3 outcomes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro$ Yes ✓84%YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez14%YesNo

Edmundo González<1%YesNo

No Head of State<1%YesNo

María Corina Machado<1%YesNo

$99.2M Vol.5 outcomes · 52 decided hidden

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu$ No ✓40%YesNo

Gadi Eizenkot34%YesNo

Naftali Bennett5%YesNo

Avigdor Lieberman3%YesNo

Israel Katz1%YesNo

Yossi Cohen<1%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 3110%YesNo

$76.9M Vol.1 outcome · 1 decided hidden

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Smart $ on No +39 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 61%Smart 44%

NoWR 74%Smart 83%

$76M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%YesNo

$75.7M Vol.1 outcome · 1 decided hidden

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers$ No ✓14%YesNo

Buffalo Bills$ No ✓12%YesNo

Kansas City Chiefs$ No ✓10%YesNo

Seattle Seahawks8%YesNo

Chicago Bears$ No ✓7%YesNo

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Smart $ on No +40 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 79%Smart 16%

NoWR 76%Smart 56%

$66.8M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona23%YesNo

Paris Saint-Germain17%YesNo

Bayern Munich14%YesNo

Arsenal13%YesNo

Real Madrid$ No ✓13%YesNo

Manchester City7%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)$ Yes ✓97%YesNo

1 (25 bps)$ No ✓1%YesNo

$55.1M Vol.2 outcomes · 11 decided hidden

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Smart $ on No +48 pts ✓100% scored

YesWR 71%Smart 16%

NoWR 77%Smart 65%

$45.4M Vol.01 Jan 2027

Signals →

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep$ Yes ✓70%YesNo

R Senate, D House24%YesNo

Republicans Sweep$ No ✓7%YesNo

D Senate, R House$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$45.3M Vol.4 outcomes · 1 decided hidden

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3162%YesNo

December 3140%YesNo

November 30$ No ✓27%YesNo

November 1519%YesNo

November 27%YesNo

October 313%YesNo

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra$ Yes ✓97%YesNo

Steve Hilton$ No ✓3%YesNo

$43.3M Vol.2 outcomes · 43 decided hidden

Josh Shapiro$ Yes3%YesNo

Pete Buttigieg$ Yes3%YesNo

Andy Beshear$ Yes2%YesNo

Ron DeSantis2%YesNo

Donald Trump2%YesNo

James Talarico2%YesNo

Tucker Carlson1%YesNo

Mark Kelly1%YesNo

Wes Moore1%YesNo

Raphael Warnock1%YesNo

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson$ No ✓<1%YesNo

Thomas Massie<1%YesNo

JB Pritzker$ Yes<1%YesNo

Ro Khanna<1%YesNo

$722.5M Vol.20 outcomes · 108 decided hidden

Donald Trump$ Yes2%YesNo

Ivanka Trump1%YesNo

Brian Kemp<1%YesNo

Thomas Massie<1%YesNo

Elon Musk$ Yes<1%YesNo

Glenn Youngkin<1%YesNo

$719.2M Vol.12 outcomes · 116 decided hidden

3%

Yes

No

Christine Lagarde$ No ✓3%YesNo

François Hollande2%YesNo

Bruno Retailleau1%YesNo

Éric Zemmour<1%YesNo

Dominique de Villepin$ No ✓<1%YesNo

$160.4M Vol.11 outcomes · 117 decided hidden

Benny Gantz<1%YesNo

$81.3M Vol.7 outcomes · 21 decided hidden

Los Angeles Rams

$ No ✓

7%

Yes

No

Jacksonville Jaguars6%YesNo

Baltimore Ravens$ No ✓5%YesNo

Minnesota Vikings$ No ✓5%YesNo

Cincinnati Bengals$ No ✓5%YesNo

Denver Broncos4%YesNo

Detroit Lions4%YesNo

New England Patriots3%YesNo

Green Bay Packers3%YesNo

Dallas Cowboys$ No ✓2%YesNo

Houston Texans2%YesNo

Atlanta Falcons1%YesNo

Pittsburgh Steelers1%YesNo

New York Giants1%YesNo

Carolina Panthers<1%YesNo

$70.7M Vol.20 outcomes · 13 decided hidden

Liverpool5%YesNo

Atlético Madrid2%YesNo

Inter Milan2%YesNo

Aston Villa1%YesNo

Como1%YesNo

Manchester United1%YesNo

Borussia Dortmund<1%YesNo

Real Betis<1%YesNo

Roma<1%YesNo

VfB Stuttgart<1%YesNo

Napoli<1%YesNo

$63.8M Vol.17 outcomes · 25 decided hidden

$44.3M Vol.6 outcomes