Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $387K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $387K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $9.1K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $4.4K on it, $38K lifetime loss over 1,006 markets (61% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 687 · whale$9.1K+$11M lifetime
- 20xf57c…4de3no record yet$744
- 30x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546548% won of 6,384 · whale$423+$4.4M lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider47% won of 2,469 · whale$412+$207K lifetime
- 5HOG99336% won of 1,229 · noise$154+$100K lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 10x49F20661% won of 1,006$4.4K−$38K lifetime
- 2ghorrock64% won of 37,091 · whale$36+$8.0K lifetime
- 3GingerMcKenna37% won of 5,398 · noise$30+$42K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell70% won of 3,464 · whale$19+$84 lifetime
- 5AnonymousUsername70% won of 6,664 · whale$5+$459K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
24 more- None$5.8M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- IA, KS$2.5M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- IA$1.9M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, MI$790K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME$757K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA$747K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- AK, IA, KS, MI$598K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, ME$552K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- AK, KS, ME, OH$551K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- MI$543K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$536K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$518K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME$512K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$503K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, OH$503K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$493K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS$489K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME, MI, TX$466K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, TX$464K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- ME, MI, TX$454K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- KS, MI$453K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI$448K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- OH$448K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $9.1K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $4.4K on it, $38K lifetime loss over 1,006 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $387K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.