Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.6K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is ndb1, with $306 on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 1,418 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $2.8K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $654
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$654 on it
- 1ndb161% won of 1,418 · whale$306+$2.8M lifetime
- 2blkcarib202065% won of 17$100−$174 lifetime
- 30x5c161DC853Efa50C9Cd086A8B7b77B1696ca5387-172290663552775% won of 4$91−$238 lifetime
- 4Kokopilot55% won of 44$23−$363 lifetime
- 5SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$21+$48K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$2.8K+$127K lifetime
- 2AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,827 · whale$563+$417K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$161−$41K lifetime
- 4sunnynotbunny60% won of 468$83−$28K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$76−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is ndb1, with $306 on it, $2.8M lifetime profit over 1,418 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $2.8K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.