Who's betting on “Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $597 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $6.7K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$597+$127K lifetime
- 2ndb161% won of 1,409 · whale$463+$2.7M lifetime
- 3OATH198960% won of 96$433−$1.3K lifetime
- 4Voland677787% won of 15$329−$10K lifetime
- 5jumpingjehoshaphat60% won of 20 · noise$236+$492 lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$6.7K+$288K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$1.6K+$91K lifetime
- 3CT-test52% won of 213 · balanced$513+$23 lifetime
- 4Kippekok82% won of 44 · balanced$496+$304 lifetime
- 50opj4kuu4xb247% won of 488$359−$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $597 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $6.7K on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.