Who's betting on “Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.5K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 35% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $265 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0x3a74…12d7, with $1.7K on it.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $755
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$755 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$265+$127K lifetime
- 2ethBELIVER65% won of 57 · whale$200+$348K lifetime
- 3milkteaboba56% won of 97$86−$853K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,167 · noise$81+$254K lifetime
- 5jumpingjehoshaphat60% won of 20 · noise$62+$492 lifetime
No$6.8K on it
- 10x3a74…12d7no record yet$1.7K
- 2title157% won of 1,363 · whale$1.1K+$24K lifetime
- 3OATH198960% won of 96$1.0K−$1.3K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith51% won of 53,556$724−$378K lifetime
- 5BunCaCham85% won of 475$601−$163K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
2 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $7.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $265 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is 0x3a74…12d7, with $1.7K on it.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.