Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $599K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.4K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - not scored yet
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $599K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $6.1K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $7.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
Nobody the scanner covers holds No yet. Every tracked dollar is on the other side.
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.4K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 687 · whale$6.1K+$11M lifetime
- 2Krang55% won of 155$888−$5.4K lifetime
- 3SnapElectionAvoider47% won of 2,469 · whale$98+$207K lifetime
- 40x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546548% won of 6,384 · whale$56+$4.4M lifetime
- 5fiter20% won of 894 · noise$54+$53K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
24 more- None$5.8M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- IA, KS$2.5M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- IA$1.9M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, MI$791K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME$757K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA$748K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$647K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, ME$553K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- AK, KS, ME, OH$552K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- MI$544K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$536K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$518K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME$513K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$503K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, OH$503K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS$496K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME, MI, TX$469K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, TX$465K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, OH$456K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS, ME$455K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- ME, MI, TX$454K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- KS, MI$454K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- MI, TX$451K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $6.1K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $599K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.