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Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?”?

Politics$17K traded37 holdersEnds November 3, 2026Updated October 31, 2026
1%Yes
99%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$17K
traded all time
Held now
$5.9K
by 37 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
-
8 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money movesTrade on Polymarket ↗

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

37 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $4.5K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 678 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is qwen300.fund, with $673 on it, $626K lifetime profit over 142,693 markets (33% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share-
Holders
27
Money on it
$4.7K
Holders' win rate
86%
No99%
Smart money share-
Holders
10
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
41%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$4.7K on it

  1. 1BreakTheBank88% won of 678 · whale$4.5K+$11M lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider47% won of 2,368 · whale$150+$207K lifetime
  3. 3Alicia69% won of 1,046 · whale$31+$45K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 12,076 · whale$15+$135K lifetime
  5. 5Granddaughter35% won of 238$8−$1.6K lifetime

No$1.2K on it

  1. 1qwen300.fund33% won of 142,693 · noise$673+$626K lifetime
  2. 2balthazar53% won of 57,563 · whale$377+$1.2M lifetime
  3. 3tradetosurvive144% won of 26,910$79−$218K lifetime
  4. 4Lucerys41% won of 139,540 · whale$19+$328K lifetime
  5. 50x8a00…dfd50% won of 2$18
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?"?

37 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 35 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $4.5K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 678 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is qwen300.fund, with $673 on it, $626K lifetime profit over 142,693 markets (33% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.