Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $434K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 1 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $434K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $10K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 719 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is iliabouchouev, with $100 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 6,313 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 1
- Money on it
- $100
- Holders' win rate
- 100%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 719 · whale$10K+$11M lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider47% won of 2,523 · whale$1.1K+$232K lifetime
- 30x0002763B46a11DF5443CE5ab77c39ffbC8aa2629-177508330492850% won of 28$460−$6.8K lifetime
- 40x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546548% won of 6,728 · whale$369+$5.6M lifetime
- 5TimeTraveler88% won of 1,419 · whale$112+$164K lifetime
No$100 on it
- 1iliabouchouev100% won of 6,313 · whale$100+$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
24 more- None$6.6M vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: No
- IA, KS$3.2M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- IA$3.0M vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$2.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK$981K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- AK, IA$908K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- IA, KS, MI$844K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME$840K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- MI$754K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- AK, KS, MI, TX$729K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$711K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME$698K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$671K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, MI, OH, TX$653K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, ME$646K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- AK, IA, KS, MI$643K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS$629K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- KS, MI, TX$609K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- KS, MI$586K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI$571K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, OH$566K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$549K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, MI, OH, TX$545K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME, MI, TX$544K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $10K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 719 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is iliabouchouev, with $100 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 6,313 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $434K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.