Who's betting on “Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $328K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 100% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - not scored yet
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $328K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $11K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
Nobody the scanner covers holds No yet. Every tracked dollar is on the other side.
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$14K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 687 · whale$11K+$11M lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider47% won of 2,469 · whale$976+$207K lifetime
- 30x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546548% won of 6,384 · whale$358+$4.4M lifetime
- 40x00b5…b3cano record yet$236
- 5anciano50% won of 1,436 · whale$181+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
24 more- None$5.8M vol.Yes 37%No 64%Smart money: No
- IA, KS$2.5M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- IA$1.9M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, MI$794K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA$789K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME$765K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, ME, MI, TX$661K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, TX$648K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS, MI$614K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, MI, TX$580K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, OH$563K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, KS, ME$561K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- IA, ME$550K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH$549K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- MI$548K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- AK, IA, KS$508K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, KS, ME, OH, TX$506K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, OH$503K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- IA, ME, MI, TX$479K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI, TX$478K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, ME, MI$471K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- AK, IA, KS, TX$469K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Too little scored money to compare
- MI, TX$467K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$77M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$46M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $11K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 687 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $328K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.