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Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?”?

Politics$12K traded47 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$12K
traded all time
Held now
$1.7K
by 47 wallets
Smart share · Yes
62%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
96%
20 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

62% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

Who holds it

47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $16 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $1.4K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 236 markets (73% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share62%
7 days ago 62%a day ago 62%now 62%
Holders
27
Money on it
$61
Holders' win rate
41%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 95%a day ago 93%now 96%
Holders
20
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
72%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$61 on it

  1. 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$16−$485K lifetime
  2. 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$12+$255K lifetime
  3. 34202149% won of 1,046 · whale$10+$19K lifetime
  4. 4spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$7+$27K lifetime
  5. 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$3+$334K lifetime

No$1.6K on it

  1. 1allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$1.4K+$64K lifetime
  2. 2Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$47+$570 lifetime
  3. 3deepabhi197% won of 72 · grinder$25+$86 lifetime
  4. 4lolzzzlol19% won of 45,352$19−$99K lifetime
  5. 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$19−$217K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?"?

47 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dr.PNL, with $16 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $1.4K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 236 markets (73% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

62% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.