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Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?”?

Politics$34K traded73 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes🧠 smart money
96%No

Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$34K
traded all time
Held now
$7.0K
by 73 wallets
Smart share · Yes
74%
49 scored holders
Smart share · No
16%
24 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

74% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 59 points.

Who holds it

73 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $94 on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Trashbag, with $3.9K on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 127 markets (87% won).

Yes4%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share74%
7 days ago 74%a day ago 74%now 74%
Holders
49
Money on it
$296
Holders' win rate
53%
No96%
Smart money share16%
7 days ago 16%a day ago 15%now 16%
Holders
24
Money on it
$6.7K
Holders' win rate
81%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$296 on it

  1. 1ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$94+$904K lifetime
  2. 2TDN-70167% won of 9$34+$141 lifetime
  3. 3eNakeVets53% won of 1,031$33−$63K lifetime
  4. 4Xyzeric43% won of 215$24−$1.3K lifetime
  5. 5whippas70% won of 20 · balanced$21+$166 lifetime

No$6.7K on it

  1. 1Trashbag87% won of 127$3.9K−$2.6K lifetime
  2. 2ponczyk53% won of 221$1.1K−$71K lifetime
  3. 3UnderwriterGCR85% won of 203 · whale$479+$18K lifetime
  4. 4KingZeManel98% won of 879$435−$5.4K lifetime
  5. 5jupiterking75% won of 20$359+$162 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?"?

73 wallets hold a position worth $7.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $94 on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is Trashbag, with $3.9K on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 127 markets (87% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 59 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.