Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 67 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 22% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
22% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is jacquelineha, with $446 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 203 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $12K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 236 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 50
- Money on it
- $767
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$767 on it
- 1jacquelineha26% won of 203$446−$18K lifetime
- 2murshak51% won of 200$108−$440 lifetime
- 3Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$65+$1.5M lifetime
- 4jaja505081% won of 301 · whale$34+$43K lifetime
- 5pingentfan155% won of 441 · whale$18+$43K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$12K+$64K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$1.2K+$334K lifetime
- 3KingZeManel98% won of 879$951−$5.4K lifetime
- 4radek4469% won of 260$517−$2.1K lifetime
- 50x795d…63e745% won of 200 · noise$138+$3.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
13 more- Sam Bankman-Fried$155K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Elon Musk$55K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Ryan Salame$35K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: No
- Diddy$34K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Martin Shkreli$32K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ghislaine Maxwell$30K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Himself$25K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Do Kwon$24K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Keonne Rodriguez$20K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Donald Brodie$18K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money split
- Steve Bannon$13K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Roger Stone$12K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Nicolas Maduro$11K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is jacquelineha, with $446 on it, $18K lifetime loss over 203 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $12K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 236 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
22% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 67 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.