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Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?”?

Politics$20K traded72 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
8%Yes🧠 smart money
93%No

Smart money leans Yes: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$20K
traded all time
Held now
$1.4K
by 72 wallets
Smart share · Yes
60%
46 scored holders
Smart share · No
33%
26 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

60% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.

Who holds it

72 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is tedward111, with $17 on it, $7.1K lifetime profit over 200 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is WatchTheTape, with $432 on it, $10.0K lifetime loss over 366 markets (80% won).

Yes8%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share60%
7 days ago 78%a day ago 59%now 60%
Holders
46
Money on it
$102
Holders' win rate
58%
No93%
Smart money share33%
7 days ago 24%a day ago 33%now 33%
Holders
26
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$102 on it

  1. 1tedward11168% won of 200 · whale$17+$7.1K lifetime
  2. 2UMAisawesome60% won of 209$15−$7.4K lifetime
  3. 34202149% won of 1,046 · whale$12+$19K lifetime
  4. 4spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$12+$27K lifetime
  5. 5eNakeVets53% won of 1,031$7−$63K lifetime

No$1.3K on it

  1. 1WatchTheTape80% won of 366$432−$10.0K lifetime
  2. 2shiifoo52% won of 4,738 · whale$317+$46K lifetime
  3. 3LarBotPrime56% won of 215$140−$1.4K lifetime
  4. 4crossx76% won of 173$115−$4.7K lifetime
  5. 5AciliMeyvaSuyu61% won of 54$81−$1.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?"?

72 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is tedward111, with $17 on it, $7.1K lifetime profit over 200 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is WatchTheTape, with $432 on it, $10.0K lifetime loss over 366 markets (80% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

60% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.