Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.2K by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 15 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is herewe, with $71 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 68 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is KingZeManel, with $817 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 879 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $104
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 90%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$104 on it
- 1herewe76% won of 68 · balanced$71+$1.0K lifetime
- 20x8357321c607743b605da9ea26b601c76C786B6A6-176081466128773% won of 236$8−$252 lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$6−$7.9K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
- 5spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$4+$27K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1KingZeManel98% won of 879$817−$5.4K lifetime
- 295074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$569+$146K lifetime
- 3bear-bees87% won of 47 · balanced$484+$2.4K lifetime
- 40x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$448+$29K lifetime
- 5Mica199% won of 210$264−$2.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
13 more- Sam Bankman-Fried$155K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Elon Musk$55K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Ryan Salame$35K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: No
- Diddy$34K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Martin Shkreli$32K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ghislaine Maxwell$30K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Derek Chauvin$30K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Himself$25K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Do Kwon$24K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Keonne Rodriguez$20K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Donald Brodie$18K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money split
- Steve Bannon$13K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Roger Stone$12K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $3.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them. The largest Yes holder is herewe, with $71 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 68 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is KingZeManel, with $817 on it, $5.4K lifetime loss over 879 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.