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Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?”?

Politics$24K traded78 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
4%Yes
96%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$24K
traded all time
Held now
$5.6K
by 78 wallets
Smart share · Yes
17%
37 scored holders
Smart share · No
82%
41 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

17% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.

Who holds it

78 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is BUAIIV, with $118 on it, $2.9K lifetime loss over 10 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is VegemiteLover, with $1.6K on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 265 markets (93% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share17% ▼ 5 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 22%a day ago 22%now 17%
Holders
37
Money on it
$200
Holders' win rate
72%
No96%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share82%
7 days ago 81%a day ago 81%now 82%
Holders
41
Money on it
$5.4K
Holders' win rate
85%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$200 on it

  1. 1BUAIIV80% won of 10$118−$2.9K lifetime
  2. 24202149% won of 1,046 · whale$18+$19K lifetime
  3. 30x392b…b7dano record yet$17−$49 lifetime
  4. 4hardcoreust88% won of 200$15−$102 lifetime
  5. 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$6+$44K lifetime

No$5.4K on it

  1. 1VegemiteLover93% won of 265 · whale$1.6K+$1.1K lifetime
  2. 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.6K+$2.1M lifetime
  3. 3allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$602+$64K lifetime
  4. 4KingZeManel98% won of 879$285−$5.4K lifetime
  5. 5Steveohm71% won of 76$206−$2.6K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?"?

78 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is BUAIIV, with $118 on it, $2.9K lifetime loss over 10 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is VegemiteLover, with $1.6K on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 265 markets (93% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

17% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.