Who's betting on “Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 38 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
38 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $126 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is forever123, with $524 on it, $973 lifetime profit over 65 markets (57% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $298
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$298 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$126+$27K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$95+$255K lifetime
- 30xblocked5% won of 355$16−$57 lifetime
- 4spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$15+$27K lifetime
- 5kenbrucepopmaster39% won of 18$10−$9 lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1forever12357% won of 65 · balanced$524+$973 lifetime
- 2ineedmassage72% won of 232 · whale$386+$20K lifetime
- 3WageringGrandma46% won of 112 · noise$117+$199 lifetime
- 4AciliMeyvaSuyu61% won of 54$81−$1.5K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$64−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
13 more- Sam Bankman-Fried$155K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Elon Musk$55K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Ryan Salame$35K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: No
- Diddy$34K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Martin Shkreli$32K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Ghislaine Maxwell$30K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Derek Chauvin$30K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Himself$25K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Do Kwon$24K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Keonne Rodriguez$20K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Steve Bannon$13K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Roger Stone$12K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Nicolas Maduro$11K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $126 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,856 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is forever123, with $524 on it, $973 lifetime profit over 65 markets (57% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.