Who's betting on “Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $46K traded all time
- Held now
- $22K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 80 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $46K has been traded on it.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them.
- Holders
- 66
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
6 more- OpenAI$43K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money split
- Meta$26K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$26K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Moonshot$15K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Mistral$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- xAI$11K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $22K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $46K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved Yes. $46K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.