Who's betting on “Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?”?
Tech · $155K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $155K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
73% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
101 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is OnYesYes, with $63 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 31 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is gaoqiqiang, with $174 on it, $570 lifetime profit over 37 markets (95% won).
- Smart money share
- 73%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $328
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $680
- Holders' winrate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| OnYesYesnoise | $63 | +$3.5K | 55% of 31 |
| BornAgain26 | $41 | -$6.0K | 80% of 224 |
| jozeslemsekwhale | $25 | +$2.5K | 61% of 375 |
| fiternoise | $19 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| 0x67918B45D58ada7de1eea9e3b483d8Ea5F9d0434-1783201601509 | $19 | +$10 | 100% of 2 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| gaoqiqiangbalanced | $174 | +$570 | 95% of 37 |
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $153 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| tanganq | $123 | -$1 | 88% of 8 |
| 3345667 | $63 | +$16 | 100% of 17 |
| DCd2 | $44 | +$28 | 100% of 5 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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- Amazon$147K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$137K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ByteDance$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Baidu$122K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Meituan$108K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Which company has best AI model end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?"?
101 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is OnYesYes, with $63 on it, $3.5K lifetime profit over 31 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is gaoqiqiang, with $174 on it, $570 lifetime profit over 37 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $155K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.