Who's betting on “Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?”?
Tech · $122K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $122K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
83% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
91 wallets hold a position worth $832 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is Crypto-Well, with $12 on it, $5.3K lifetime profit over 367 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $153 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
- Smart money share
- 83%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $66
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 92%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $767
- Holders' winrate
- 91%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Wellwhale | $12 | +$5.3K | 77% of 367 |
| OnYesYesnoise | $11 | +$3.5K | 55% of 31 |
| qing123noise | $10 | +$751 | 27% of 91 |
| AnimalEaterwhale | $5 | +$28K | 54% of 175 |
| 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938noise | $4 | +$105K | 38% of 6,018 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwellwhale | $153 | +$4.5K | 69% of 2,940 |
| 0x091FD21F5eB3151399B141E7A96096E4B39F660b-1763707258339 | $120 | +$11 | 100% of 10 |
| 966666balanced | $114 | +$1.1K | 89% of 27 |
| 0x2A8C | $107 | +$2 | 100% of 8 |
| 38d1b2 | $104 | +$5 | 100% of 9 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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- Amazon$147K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Microsoft$137K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ByteDance$136K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Meituan$108K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Which company has best AI model end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $832 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is Crypto-Well, with $12 on it, $5.3K lifetime profit over 367 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $153 on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,940 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $122K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.