Who's betting on “Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 55% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 55% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
55% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $463 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $549 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $219 on No.
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 33%
- Snipers
- 1 · $219
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.1K on it
- 1Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$463+$104K lifetime
- 2Viktor-TWK0% won of 3$297−$1.7K lifetime
- 30x920b03d55F7729559c663F005c8a617566355D17-176033846025698% won of 200 · grinder$259+$1.2K lifetime
- 4domdomdomdomno record yet$239+$0 lifetime
- 5839623928775% won of 201$235−$456 lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$549+$334K lifetime
- 2longdated-poli3% won of 3,448$501−$64K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$439−$377K lifetime
- 4groth77% won of 495 · sniper$219+$146K lifetime
- 50x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$158−$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
5 more- No solution by Dec 31, 2027$106K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Hodge Conjecture$90K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer$41K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Riemann Hypothesis$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- P versus NP$16K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Contentious-Dinnerdate, with $463 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,087 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $549 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
55% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.