Who's betting on “Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $106K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 118 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
Who holds it
118 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is groth, with $2.6K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 495 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is wqujvj, with $1.9K on it, $9.8K lifetime profit over 93 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.6K on Yes.
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $8.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.6K
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $7.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.3K on it
- 1groth77% won of 495 · sniper$2.6K+$146K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.3K+$203K lifetime
- 3ilmari9930% won of 103 · noise$710+$629 lifetime
- 40xC81b7D9F4464C9985f5621492829ahdfc50% won of 236 · whale$687+$12K lifetime
- 5Jesetrading76% won of 274 · balanced$593+$6.1K lifetime
No$7.0K on it
- 1wqujvj75% won of 93 · balanced$1.9K+$9.8K lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,487$1.4K−$1.9M lifetime
- 30xDC719Fde6ed998a38F28DEA0af7B653047a526D8-1723323482067100% won of 2$744−$195 lifetime
- 4Viktor-TWK0% won of 3$528−$1.7K lifetime
- 50xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-177219598395955% won of 142 · balanced$471+$6.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
5 more- Hodge Conjecture$90K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer$41K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Yang-Mills$34K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Riemann Hypothesis$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- P versus NP$16K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?"?
118 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is groth, with $2.6K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 495 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is wqujvj, with $1.9K on it, $9.8K lifetime profit over 93 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $106K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 35 points. A week ago, Yes by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.