Who's betting on “Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 54 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $588 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is groth, with $647 on it, $146K lifetime profit over 495 markets (77% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $647 on No.
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $647
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.8K on it
- 1seal759% won of 846 · whale$588+$132K lifetime
- 20x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$208+$27K lifetime
- 3Viktor-TWK0% won of 3$158−$1.7K lifetime
- 4Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$102+$104K lifetime
- 5Jesetrading76% won of 274 · balanced$93+$6.1K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1groth77% won of 495 · sniper$647+$146K lifetime
- 2Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$339+$154K lifetime
- 3Miguel26214452% won of 869 · balanced$136+$2.7K lifetime
- 4cd30gfu530p061% won of 283 · balanced$81+$535 lifetime
- 50x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-178211214300361% won of 892$58−$528 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
5 more- No solution by Dec 31, 2027$106K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Hodge Conjecture$90K vol.Yes 25%No 76%Smart money: Yes
- Yang-Mills$36K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Riemann Hypothesis$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- P versus NP$16K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $588 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is groth, with $647 on it, $146K lifetime profit over 495 markets (77% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.