Who's betting on “Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $90K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.3K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $90K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $1.2K on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x8712, with $1.5K on it, $4.0K lifetime loss over 206 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.5K on it
- 1seal759% won of 846 · whale$1.2K+$132K lifetime
- 2purplegatto73% won of 3,499$418−$1.9M lifetime
- 3neophiliatic63% won of 8$306+$18 lifetime
- 4Viktor-TWK0% won of 3$283−$1.7K lifetime
- 5Dragontree59% won of 1,113 · whale$194+$152K lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 10x871265% won of 206$1.5K−$4.0K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$721+$325K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$486−$8.4K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$383+$334K lifetime
- 510145662% won of 297 · balanced$111+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
5 more- No solution by Dec 31, 2027$106K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer$41K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Yang-Mills$36K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Riemann Hypothesis$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- P versus NP$16K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $8.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is seal7, with $1.2K on it, $132K lifetime profit over 846 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x8712, with $1.5K on it, $4.0K lifetime loss over 206 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 25¢ and No at 76¢, a 76% implied chance of No. $90K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.