Who's betting on “Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 69 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $258 by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 12% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $258 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $42 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $39 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $203
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $55
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$203 on it
- 1taerv53438% won of 221 · noise$42+$89K lifetime
- 2Dragontree59% won of 1,113 · whale$35+$152K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$19+$28K lifetime
- 4PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$18+$56K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$12+$254K lifetime
No$55 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,301$39−$52K lifetime
- 2mystery81% won of 258 · balanced$6+$859 lifetime
- 3kkss198x66% won of 29$5−$1 lifetime
- 4easyhardmoney100% won of 15$3−$4 lifetime
- 50x78b3…6dda55% won of 276$1−$69 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
5 more- No solution by Dec 31, 2027$106K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Hodge Conjecture$90K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer$41K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Yang-Mills$36K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Riemann Hypothesis$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $258 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is taerv534, with $42 on it, $89K lifetime profit over 221 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $39 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 69 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 70 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.