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Who's betting on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?”?

Tech$11K traded40 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
19%Yes
82%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$1.3K
by 40 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
22 scored holders
Smart share · No
94%
16 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points.

Who holds it

40 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $90 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $834 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).

Yes19%
Smart money share79%
Holders
23
Money on it
$248
Holders' win rate
46%
No82%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share94%
Holders
17
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$248 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$90+$255K lifetime
  2. 20x71e3…4333no record yet$31
  3. 3hithitfar61% won of 3,575 · balanced$25+$14K lifetime
  4. 4WarriorH42% won of 42,762 · whale$19+$146K lifetime
  5. 5Scotsban64% won of 2,713 · balanced$16+$1.2K lifetime

No$1.1K on it

  1. 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$834+$97K lifetime
  2. 2lamyk59% won of 320 · balanced$117+$20K lifetime
  3. 3PABLOESCOBAR2562% won of 358$18−$900 lifetime
  4. 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$16−$9.0K lifetime
  5. 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$16+$27K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?"?

40 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 38 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $90 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $834 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.