Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 81 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $74 by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 0% 2 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Martinus-, with $8 on it, $521 lifetime profit over 131 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is momo-0916, with $34 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 2,915 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $40
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 2
- Money on it
- $34
- Holders' win rate
- 98%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$40 on it
- 1Martinus-50% won of 131 · balanced$8+$521 lifetime
- 2smallreceipt27% won of 23,947 · noise$4+$66K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$3+$127K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,861 · whale$2+$163K lifetime
No$34 on it
- 1momo-091698% won of 2,915$34−$3.0K lifetime
- 2haveagoodday24% won of 22,485 · noise$0+$22K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
11 more- No release by October 31$142K vol.Yes 90%No 10%Smart money: No
- October 29$24K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- October 31$18K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- October 28$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- October 27$45K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 20$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 22$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 24$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 25$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 21$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 26$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $74 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is Martinus-, with $8 on it, $521 lifetime profit over 131 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is momo-0916, with $34 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 2,915 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.