Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $773 by 354 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 34% 169 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 34% 184 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved No. $36K has been traded on it.
The smart money
34% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
354 wallets hold a position worth $773 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 353 of them.
- Holders
- 169
- Money on it
- $84
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 185
- Money on it
- $689
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
11 more- No release by October 31$142K vol.Yes 90%No 10%Smart money: No
- October 29$24K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- October 31$18K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- October 28$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- October 30$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- October 27$45K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 22$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 24$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 25$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 21$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 26$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?"?
354 wallets hold a position worth $773 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 353 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved No. $36K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
34% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 21, 2026 and resolved No. $36K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.