Who's betting on “Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $100 on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 0x986145804Db533935Cd4cb20Ac9FE6C3F995C615-1782017169910, with $245 on it, $144 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $369
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$369 on it
- 1rewardbots58% won of 354 · whale$100+$76K lifetime
- 2xc78622a49b7f38b356453b35c649c20b859bd82e55% won of 200 · whale$35+$881 lifetime
- 3Martinus-50% won of 131 · balanced$26+$521 lifetime
- 4WunnaWun41% won of 620$23−$6.1K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$21+$97K lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 10x986145804Db533935Cd4cb20Ac9FE6C3F995C615-1782017169910100% won of 2$245−$144 lifetime
- 2black456273% won of 695 · balanced$161+$463 lifetime
- 3Haradwaith51% won of 53,556$141−$378K lifetime
- 4caigou70% won of 216 · balanced$73+$176 lifetime
- 5Lamegawi65% won of 642$60−$373 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
11 more- No release by October 31$141K vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: No
- October 31$18K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- October 28$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- October 30$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- October 27$45K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 20$36K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 22$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- October 24$15K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 25$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 21$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- October 26$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$923K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$883K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is rewardbots, with $100 on it, $76K lifetime profit over 354 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is 0x986145804Db533935Cd4cb20Ac9FE6C3F995C615-1782017169910, with $245 on it, $144 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.